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Week 10 Advanced Stats: The Big 12 Conference

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Resurrecting our look into how the Big 12 is shaping up according to FootballOutsiders' advanced statistics.

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

It's been awhile since Mark did this, with good reason. As you know, he's been incredibly busy, and while I'm not quite as busy as he's been, it's not been exactly dead for me lately, either. Regardless, I've decided to try and take a crack at this post to see if we can't take a deeper look at the advanced stats from a conference perspective. I'm going to leave the breakdowns the same as the last post Mark did, just for ease of use. I may look at adding some features in future weeks if it's warranted.

Here are the charts. As always, all numbers are courtesy of the metrics at FootballOutsiders.com. While we don't have a comparison to the past few weeks avaiable, you can look at Week 6 to see how things have changed since then.

Big 12 Conference by F/+

2014 RANKS Oklahoma TCU
Kansas State
Baylor
West Virginia Texas
Oklahoma State Iowa State Texas Tech Kansas
OVERALL:
F+/ S&P+ /FEI
6 / 7 / 6
10 / 12 / 12 15 / 25 / 17
18 / 16 / 23
27 / 13 / 32
62 / 40 / 75
66 / 64 / 77 74 / 93 / 73
80 / 82 / 96 110 / 99 / 102
F/+ Special Teams
8 25 11 28 29 117 14
39 78 125
FPA 20 6
16 7 91 103 61 89 113 97

1. Oklahoma Sooners
2. TCU Horned Frogs
3. Kansas State Wildcats
4. Baylor Bears
5. West Virginia Mountaineers
6. Texas Longhorns
7. Oklahoma State Cowboys
8. Iowa St. Cyclones
9. Texas Tech Red Raiders
10. Kansas Jayhawks

Some interesting points to note. The top half of the conference is incredibly strong, with West Virginia coming in at #5 in the Big 12 in Overall F/+ and sitting just outside the Top 25 in overall rankings. After West Virginia, though, the dropoff is... significant. Texas is sixth in the rankings at 62, and Teams 6 through 9 in the Big 12 are within 18 places of each other, with Texas Tech ranking 80th Overall.

Both Baylor's and West Virginia's Special Teams have come a long way since our Advanced Stats Rankings post, while others have held relatively steady. Interestingly, in just a few weeks, West Virginia has plummeted in the Field Position Advantage rankings. In the last post Mark did, they were 46, slightly above average. They are now 93, firmly in the bottom third of all of FBS.

Big 12 Offenses

Offensive Categories
OU TCU
KSU
Baylor
WVU UT
OkSt ISU TT KU
F/+ Rk
5 22
24 20
31
91
74
48
43 122
FEI Rk 6
29
20
21
43
103
77
34
39
122
FD Rk 43
44 12
10
27 104
82 109
71 120
AY Rk 20
22
11 9
46
108
90
81
53
124
Ex Rk 30
14
21
11
34 112
70
109
38
106
Me Rk 75
98 36
19
77
58
97
3
108
123
Va Rk 18
23
5
12 40
96
97
60
68
125
S&P+ Rk
5
14
30
22
15 60
74
69 51
120
Success Rate
5
41 23
42 58
61
95
71
60
125
ISOPPP
26 7
50
4
71
109 27 123
20
89
Std. Downs S&P Rk 5
29
48 26
12
52
76
66 55
107
Pass. Downs S&P Rk 6 10 31 36 38
91
54
33
8
113
Rushing S&P Rk 2 4
44
49
36
46
91 41
35
118
Passing S&P Rk 7
33
34
20
13
76
44
48 30
90

1. OU (6)
2. K-State (20)
3. Baylor (21)
4. TCU (29)
5. ISU (34)
6. TT (39)
7. WVU (43)
8. OkSt (77)
9. UT (103)
10. KU (122)

Oklahoma sits atop the heap with clearly the best offense, at least according to the advanced stats. Mark will likely be doing the Advanced Stats Preview tomorrow, focusing on the OU-Baylor matchup from an Advanced Stats perspective. Somewhat surprising was that Iowa State defies all other convention and checks in at 34 in overall F/+. I suppose that's what happens when you're 3rd in the nation in methodical drives. Also: Oh, Texas.

Baylor continues to be favored in FEI vs. S&P+, a stark difference to last season, where the Bears were always higher in the S&P+ rankings than FEI.

Big 12 Defenses

Defensive Categories
OU TCU
KSU
Baylor
WVU UT
OkSt ISU TT KU
F/+ Rk
25 8
18 23
28
29
67
95
107 56
FEI Rk 38
7 15
37
42
30
82
90 111
55
FD Rk 33
18 25 5
61 32
41 100
103 87
AY Rk 20
28 33 9
46 24
57
120
106
75
Ex Rk 41
94
7
60
59 17
97
89
119
70
Me Rk 33
46 83
13
18
92
32
128
60
40
Va Rk 26 40
18
8 45
31
68
122
111
69
S&P+ Rk
17
18
21 14
19 29
50
113 109
63
Success Rate
15
22 76
8 34
43
29
127
104 35
ISOPPP
95 90 4
61 96
16 105 47 84
106
Std. Downs S&P Rk 16
36
33 39 10
22 49
110 98
14
Pass. Downs S&P Rk 23 16 10 15 21
17
33
65
101
95
Rushing S&P Rk 14 18
11
28 23
43
34 120
108
51
Passing S&P Rk 23
37 32
28
9
7
49
66 88
34

1. TCU (8)
2. K-State (18)
3. Baylor (23)
4. OU (25)
5. WVU (28)
6. UT (29)
7. KU (56)
8. OkSt (67)
9. ISU (95)
10. TT (107)

One thing for sure: the narrative about the Big 12 not playing defense is dead, at least according to the Football Outsiders metrics. Six teams in the Top 30, and Kansas a very respectable 56 in the rankings. But dang, son. Iowa State and Texas Tech are not good on defense (In other news, the Japanese have bombed Pearl Harbor). Baylor gets killed on explosive drives, largely owing to the fact that when teams throw deep on them, they either get a big gain or 15 yards. That might be slight hyperbole.

There's no doubt about it, though: This weekend features two of the biggest games in the Big 12 from a statistical standpoint, featuring the Top 4 teams on both sides of the ball squaring off against each other. The Kansas State-TCU matchup on Saturday will be a fascinating one to watch, as K-State is #2 in the conference in both rankings, while TCU's offense is #1 and their defense is #4 in the conference. Buckle your seat belts, folks. It's going to be fun.