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16/15 BAYLOR (3–0) vs. RV/RV Oklahoma State (2–1) Sept. 24, 2016 | 6:30 p.m. CT Waco, Texas | McLane Stadium (45,140) TV: FOX |
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More from our team sites
More from our team sites
OPPONENT: Oklahoma State Cowboys
ODB GAME HUB: Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys 2016
MEET THE PRESS: Baylor vs. Oklahoma State
OFFICIAL WEBSITE: Oklahoma State Cowboys
MEDIA GUIDE: 2016 Oklahoma State Football Media Guide (Click here for roster)
LAST MEETING: 45–35 Baylor | ODB Game Hub
LAST GAME: W; Oklahoma State 45–38 Pitt
SB NATION BLOG: Cowboys Ride for Free, at right
SPREAD: Baylor –8.5 (Open: Baylor –10)
TV COVERAGE: FOX, 6:30 p.m. CST Saturday WEATHER FORECAST: Thunderstorms, high of 92° (wunderground puts game time temp at 84°, around 80% chance of thunderstorms*) (OH GIVE ME A BREAK)
SBNation.com Oklahoma State Preview
baylorbears.com Preview
Bears vs. Cowboys Coverage
Be Bold Wear Gold
I didn’t make the slogan, so don’t shoot the messenger. Please. Love it or hate it, we’ve got another designated fan apparel setup for this game. What are we wearing? Gooooooooooooooooold!
Saturday. 6:30 p.m. CT. @McLaneStadium. See you there, in GOLD. #SicOSU
— Baylor Football (@BUFootball) September 20, 2016
Gear: https://t.co/mQfxH3sLmN
Tickets: https://t.co/v7HtmwLuMG pic.twitter.com/KU7FMvSWPK
That tweet basically says everything, except for this:
ASTERISK FROM WEATHER
It wouldn’t be a game at McLane without a dismal forecast. The weather has been somewhat kind to us thus far this season, so it was bound to turn sour on us. The good news is that at this point, the rain forecast drops to sub–10% right after game time. The bad news is that the forecast calls for soggy tailgating, which really stinks given we have an evening start and would have a full day of enjoyment around the stadium beforehand. Hopefully this forecast shifts the first two home games and we’re treated to pleasant weather. I swear, I’m like a broken record in these First Look posts. LOOK OUT, THE WEATHER WILL DESTROY ALL YOUR FUN AND EVERYTHING YOU HOLD DEAR. Hopefully not.
Oklahoma State Cowboys 2016 Schedule
Record: 2–1 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.1 (0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 25 | |||||||||
Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
3-Sep | Southeastern Louisiana | N/A | 61–7 | W | 100% | 47.8 | 78% | 55% | 80% |
10-Sep | Central Michigan | 78 | 27–30 | L | 30% | –4.6 | 86% | 80% | 88% |
17-Sep | Pittsburgh | 41 | 45–38 | W | 79% | 7.1 | 81% | 80% | 20% |
Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Win Probability |
Proj. W-L |
Proj. Margin |
Proj. Score |
Cumulative Proj. Wins |
24-Sep | at Baylor | 14 | 39% | L | –4.6 | 30.6 - 35.2 | 2.39 |
1-Oct | Texas | 39 | 62% | W | 5.5 | 36.1 - 30.6 | 3.02 |
8-Oct | Iowa State | 86 | 85% | W | 17.7 | 39.2 - 21.6 | 3.87 |
22-Oct | at Kansas | 113 | 92% | W | 23.9 | 41.6 - 17.7 | 4.78 |
29-Oct | West Virginia | 40 | 67% | W | 7.8 | 38.2 - 30.3 | 5.46 |
5-Nov | at Kansas State | 58 | 75% | W | 11.5 | 35.2 - 23.6 | 6.20 |
12-Nov | Texas Tech | 54 | 71% | W | 9.8 | 42.9 - 33.0 | 6.92 |
19-Nov | at TCU | 23 | 52% | W | 0.7 | 36.6 - 35.9 | 7.44 |
3-Dec | at Oklahoma | 7 | 26% | L | –11.0 | 31.0 - 42.0 | 7.70 |
If you’ve been living under a rock, Oklahoma State got royally screwed against Central Michigan, otherwise they’d be 3–0. "But Pope, if they’d played better, they’d never have been in the position for the refs to screw them like that!" Well, yeah, no kidding. That’s not a justification for poor job performance. If you don’t believe me, go ahead and tank your next performance review and try and blame it on the other guy who’s slacking off… Then see what the bosses say. Oklahoma State got screwed but good. They should have won that game. This should be a matchup of undefeated teams.
The Cowboys struggled at times with Pitt last week in a game that was delayed something like 17 hours because of a terrible thunderstorm. It might not be exactly 17 hours, but I can’t be bothered to actually look it up. Don’t @ me. At any rate, the Cowboys took the lead with about 90 seconds left in the game, then Pitt was trying to tie the game when Nathan Peterman threw the game-ending interception to Ramon Richards.
Oklahoma State Injury Report
Player | Status | Type | Comment |
Marcell Ateman | Out | Foot | Ateman is recovering from offseason surgery to repair a broken foot and there is no timetable for a recovery. |
Chris Carson | Questionable | Hand | Carson is dealing with a hand injury and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against Baylor. |
Jordan Brailford | Questionable | Leg | Brailford is nursing a leg injury and it is unknown if he will suit up against Baylor on Saturday. |
Who knows if this is accurate or not… I certainly don’t.
Oklahoma State Cowboys 2016 Individual Stats
Quarterbacks
Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
Mason Rudolph | 6’5, 235 | JR | 71 | 114 | 1017 | 6 | 1 | 62.3% | 9 | 7.3% | 7.7 |
Taylor Cornelius | 6’6, 218 | SO | 6 | 8 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 75.0% | 1 | 11.1% | 5.6 |
John Kolar | 6’4, 200 | FR | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 4.0 |
Mason Rudolph is the dude here. In three games he has over a thousand yards passing. That’s pretty impressive. Baylor fans may remember him from the last time that he visited McLane Stadium—the rain-soaked (HAHAHA OF COURSE) Blackout game of 2014. It was his first game and he torched us for big numbers in a losing effort. He had his shots in last year’s loss as well. He’s got an excellent arm and a stable of incredibly talented receivers.
Rushing & Receiving Stats
Individual Rushing Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
Justice Hill | RB | 5’10, 171 | FR | 24 | 89 | 0 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 37.5% | 0 (0) |
Rennie Childs | RB | 5’10, 208 | SR | 14 | 123 | 4 | 8.8 | 17.4 | 35.7% | 0 (0) |
Chris Carson | RB | 6’1, 215 | SR | 12 | 45 | 1 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
Mason Rudolph | QB | 6’5, 235 | JR | 11 | 23 | 0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 18.2% | 3 (3) |
Jeff Carr | RB | 5’7, 180 | SO | 6 | 42 | 1 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
Barry J. Sanders | RB | 5’10, 198 | SR | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
Taylor Cornelius | QB | 6’6, 218 | SO | 5 | 32 | 1 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 60.0% | 0 (0) |
John Kolar | QB | 6’4, 200 | FR | 2 | 18 | 0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 0 (0) |
Jalen McCleskey | WR | 5’10, 170 | SO | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 100.0% | 1 (0) |
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. |
Compare this table to the previous one and you should have a good indication for what kind of offense Oklahoma State is fielding these days. Only one rusher has over 100 yards rushing in Rennie Childs, who has the highest yards per carry and best opportunity rate of the pack. The only other–HOLD THE PHONE THEY HAVE BARRY SANDERS ON THEIR TEAM. That’s awesome. If you’re wondering, yes, he’s the son of THAT Barry Sanders. He’s a senior. How did he become a senior and I never noticed that Barry J. Sanders played for Oklahoma State? That’s messed up.
Individual Receiving Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
James Washington | WR | 6’0, 205 | JR | 36 | 19 | 396 | 3 | 20.8 | 11.0 | 52.8% | 44.4% | 29.0% |
Jalen McCleskey | WR | 5’10, 170 | SO | 27 | 18 | 150 | 1 | 8.3 | 5.6 | 66.7% | 44.4% | 21.8% |
Jhajuan Seales | WR | 6’0, 205 | SR | 19 | 13 | 224 | 2 | 17.2 | 11.8 | 68.4% | 47.4% | 15.3% |
Chris Lacy | WR | 6’3, 205 | JR | 12 | 6 | 74 | 0 | 12.3 | 6.2 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 9.7% |
Chris Carson | RB | 6’1, 215 | SR | 6 | 5 | 60 | 0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 83.3% | 66.7% | 4.8% |
Austin Hays | WR | 6’2, 195 | SR | 5 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 13.3 | 10.6 | 80.0% | 80.0% | 4.0% |
Dillon Stoner | WR | 5’11, 176 | FR | 4 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 13.5 | 6.8 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 3.2% |
Barry J. Sanders | RB | 5’10, 198 | SR | 3 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 100.0% | 33.3% | 2.4% |
Blake Jarwin | TE | 6’5, 248 | SR | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 1.6% |
Zac Veatch | TE | 6’3, 265 | SR | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.8% |
Terry Tillmon | WR | 5’11, 165 | FR | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.8% |
Keenen Brown | TE | 6’3, 242 | SO | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.8% |
Theo Berry | WR | 5’10, 195 | JR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% |
Justice Hill | RB | 5’10, 171 | FR | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.8% |
Jeff Carr | RB | 5’7, 180 | SO | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% |
Obi Obialo | WR | 6’3, 200 | FR | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% |
James Washington is the name that jumps out at you, but Oklahoma State has a tremendous crop of wide receivers headlined by Washington, Jalen Mccluskey, and Jhajuan Seales (whose name we will not even attempt to pronounce on the podcast). The Cowboys like to air it out, and they have real talent. The Baylor secondary will be tested early and often in this game. We’ll finally get to see what seems to be an improved secondary against a true threat. Will they stand up to the heat? Will the pass rush get any push against Oklahoma State’s offensive line? We’ll see. This will be an interesting matchup.
Individual Defensive Stats
Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
Jordan Burton | LB | 6’2, 215 | SR | 16.5 | 9.4% | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Jordan Sterns | S | 6’0, 200 | SR | 15.5 | 8.8% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Chad Whitener | LB | 6’0, 248 | JR | 14.0 | 8.0% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Devante Averette | LB | 5’11, 230 | SR | 14.0 | 8.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Ramon Richards | CB | 5’11, 185 | JR | 12.5 | 7.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Vincent Taylor | DT | 6’3, 310 | JR | 10.0 | 5.7% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Tralund Webber | DE | 6’5, 250 | JR | 7.5 | 4.3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Justin Phillips | LB | 6’0, 235 | SO | 7.5 | 4.3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cole Walterscheid | DE | 6’5, 254 | SO | 7.0 | 4.0% | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Tre Flowers | S | 6’3, 198 | JR | 7.0 | 4.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Ashton Lampkin | CB | 6’0, 190 | SR | 5.5 | 3.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kenneth Edison-McGruder | S | 6’0, 215 | SO | 5.0 | 2.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lenzy Pipkins | CB | 6’0, 201 | SR | 5.0 | 2.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Jarrell Owens | DE | 6’3, 270 | SO | 4.5 | 2.6% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Gyasi Akem | LB | 6’2, 230 | JR | 4.5 | 2.6% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
DeQuinton Osborne | DT | 6’0, 310 | JR | 4.0 | 2.3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Motekiai Maile | DT | 6’3, 315 | SR | 4.0 | 2.3% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Calvin Bundage | LB | 6’2, 193 | FR | 4.0 | 2.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kirk Tucker | LB | 6’1, 200 | JR | 3.5 | 2.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kevin Henry | LB | 6’0, 225 | FR | 3.5 | 2.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vili Leveni | DT | 6’4, 290 | JR | 2.5 | 1.4% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Derrick Moncrief | S | 6’2, 220 | SR | 2.5 | 1.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Eric Davis | DT | 6’3, 305 | SR | 2.5 | 1.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Tyler Ferguson | DT | 6’2, 265 | SO | 2.0 | 1.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Za’Carrius Green | S | 5’11, 205 | FR | 1.5 | 0.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hey look, it’s a defense! I haven’t spent much time watching this side of the ball. Feel free to expound upon them in the comments. There are some serious all-name team candidates on this defense, though. I’m looking at you Motekaiai Maile and Za’Carrius Green. Truly excellent names.
It’s Question Time!
A: Let’s take the first 5–8 minutes of the first quarter. What do you need to see to calm your nerves? 2: You wearing gold or nah? π: How much does the rain worry you?
§ 2254: How excited are you for football in McLane again? How ready are you for conference play? GIVE ME GIFS. I need gifs. You are my supplier. Umlaut: Uniform prediction. GO.