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Baylor vs. Kansas -- GAME DAY/Early Shift Open Thread

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Sorry for getting this up so late, everybody!

vs.

11/8 BAYLOR (5-0, 2-0) vs. NR/NR Kansas (1-4, 0-2)
Oct. 15, 2016 | 2:30 p.m. CT
Waco, Texas | McLane Stadium (45,140)

TV: FS1
Listen | Gametracker Gametracker | Game Notes Notes

OPPONENT: Kansas Jayhawks
ODB GAME HUB:
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawks 2016
OFFICIAL WEBSITE:
Kansas Jayhawks
OURDAILYPODCAST: Road Tripping w/ Francis and Scully
ROLL CALL: Homecoming vs. Kansas
PREVIEW THREAD: Baylor vs. Kansas
MEDIA GUIDE: 2016 Kansas Football Media Guide (Click here for roster)
LAST MEETING: 66-7 Baylor | ODB Game Hub
LAST GAME: L; TCU 24, Kansas 23
SB NATION BLOG: Rock Chalk Talk, at right
SPREAD: Baylor –35 (Open: Baylor –35)
TV COVERAGE: FS1, 2:30 p.m. CST Saturday

ADVANCED STATS:

Never got the chance to do a Preview/Prediction thread of my own this week, so this is going to have to suffice for now:

Advanced Stats:

Take a gander while you've got a chance over at Peter's Advanced Stats post this week. I'll give you the highlights below.

Category

Baylor (5-0)

KU (1-4)

EDGE

Overall F/+ Rk 18 (30.2%)
108 (-29.9%)
BAYLOR
Overall FEI Rk 24 (.130)
110 (-1.55)
BAYLOR
Overall S&P+ Rk 16 (15.1)
105 (-9.9)
BAYLOR
Field Position Advantage --
-- n/a

You'll see below that I'm not taking Baylor to cover that 35-point spread, but you can see above at least why it exists.

Thoughts on the Game:

Kansas kept the game against TCU close last week with solid defense and an offense decent enough to do some things against a weaker-than-expected TCU defense.  If Baylor wants to avoid a similar fate, we can't come out the way we did against Iowa State and allow them to build confidence and string together success against our own defense.  At the same time, it's critical to put an end to the pattern we've shown so far this season of slow offensive starts.  Jump on Kansas early, pin them down from the start, and then finish.  The defense has shown it can do the last thing, since we haven't given up a single point in the fourth quarter this season, but we've yet to see the first in conference play.  I want to see it today, and I'm confident that we will in front of a huge Homecoming crowd.

One thing to watch is how Baylor's defense performs against Kansas's running game.  The Jayhawks have been pretty terrible running the ball this season, and I think we all agree that's the weakest spot of our defense (outside of inexplicable long third downs).  If Kansas is able to establish a running game like ISU did a week ago (at least early), that's a big problem.

My Prediction: Baylor 48, Kansas 17

LINKS LINKS LINKS LINKS LINKS:

Kansas vs. Baylor 2016: Start time, live stream, TV schedule, and 3 things to know - SBNation.com
As long as Baylor doesn't mess up, it'll be 6-0.

Kansas Jayhawks Football Predictions: Baylor Bears - Rock Chalk Talk
Our writers come together to brace themselves for the weekend. Don’t forget to log a prediction for the game yourself.

How the Bears match up vs. Kansas - WacoTrib.com: Baylor Bears Football
Baylor offense vs. Kansas defense

No parades necessary: Bears focused on the field, bowl eligibility - WacoTrib.com: Baylor Bears Football
While fans enjoy the parade and other festivities, homecoming is all business for the No. 11 Baylor football team.

Baylor, after near-upset at Iowa State, is wide awake for Kansas | www.mystatesman.com
Baylor has had an extra week to contemplate what might have been had it slipped up on the road at Iowa State, a loss that surely would’ve dropped the Bears out of a realistic chance for the Big 12 title and a possible berth in the College Football Playoff.

TWEETS TWEETS TWEETS TWEETS TWEETS:

#SicEm