10/10/6 BAYLOR (8–1, 5–1) vs. 4/4/8 Oklahoma State (10–0, 7–0)
Nov. 21, 2015 | 6:30 p.m. CT
Stillwater, Okla. | Boone Pickens Stadium (60,218)
|Watch | Listen | Gametracker | Notes|
OPPONENT: Oklahoma State Cowboys
ODB GAME HUB: Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys 2015
MEET THE PRESS: Baylor vs. Oklahoma State
OFFICIAL WEBSITE: www.okstate.com
MEDIA GUIDE: 2015 Oklahoma State Football Media Guide (Click here for roster)
ADVANCED STATS PROFILE: Oklahoma State Cowboys Advanced Stats Profile
LAST MEETING: 49–28 Baylor | ODB Game Hub
LAST GAME: W; OkSt 35, Iowa State 31
SB NATION BLOG: Cowboys Ride For Free, at right
SPREAD: PK (Open: PK - we didn’t have a thread this week)
TV COVERAGE: FOX, 6:30 p.m. CST Saturday WEATHER FORECAST: Clear and Cold, high of 49°, light winds (wunderground puts game time temp at 37°)
Out of the Frying Pan, Into The Fire?
Last week the Bears faced off against Oklahoma, the team probably playing the best, most complete football in the conference at this point in the season. This week, the Bears play Oklahoma State, the team that is arguably playing the second best football in the conference. The Cowboys are undefeated and have the inside track on a spot in the College Football Playoff, should things shake out favorably for them. Add to that the fact that the Bears haven’t won in Stillwater the day Bill Snyder was born: October 7, 1939. Granted, there’s a big gap in there, but still. That’s a long time.
There’s some good news and some bad news about the trip to Stillwater: the bad news is that we got the night game slot. It’s going to be COLD. According to Wunderground, it’s going to be 37° at game time and just get colder from there. The good news is that there’s no precipitation of any kind in the forecast, and there isn’t even supposed to be much wind. So… cold, but none of the stuff that’s been a real problem in the past. Can this be the year that the Bears finally get off the schneid in Stillwater? Will Stidham be fully healthy or will his back hamper him? How will the defensive line fare, given all of the injuries? Speaking of that…
If you didn’t see it yesterday in the Meet the Press thread, Stidham had an MRI on his back that came back negative. He’s just really sore, but apparently getting better by the day. Who knows if he’ll be absolutely 100% on Saturday? Only time will tell. As far as the other reported injuries, this was the latest at the press conference yesterday:
Briles: Waz is probable. Blackshear doubtful. Stewart will know more as the week goes on. Bonds is doubtful.— Joshua Davis (@jdavis_second) November 16, 2015
Of course, we’ll keep you posted if we find out any more information.
Oklahoma State Cowboys 2015 Schedule
|@ Central Michigan Chippewas||Thursday, September 03 2015||win 24–13||coverage|
|Central Arkansas Bears||Saturday, September 12 2015||win 32–8||coverage|
|Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners||Saturday, September 19 2015||win 69–14||coverage|
|@ Texas Longhorns||Saturday, September 26 2015||win 30–27||coverage|
|Kansas State Wildcats||Saturday, October 03 2015||win 36–34||coverage|
|@ West Virginia Mountaineers||Saturday, October 10 2015||win 33–26||coverage|
|Kansas Jayhawks||Saturday, October 24 2015||win 58–10||coverage|
|@ Texas Tech Red Raiders||Saturday, October 31 2015||win 70–53||coverage|
|TCU Horned Frogs||Saturday, November 07 2015||win 49–29||coverage|
|@ Iowa St. Cyclones||Saturday, November 14 2015||win 35–31||coverage|
|Baylor Bears||Saturday, November 21 2015||7:30 PM EST||coverage|
|Oklahoma Sooners||Friday, November 27 2015||7:00 PM EST||coverage|
This has been a really interesting year for Oklahoma State. They’ve struggled at times with some opponents that you wouldn’t think they would have trouble with. They required the weirdest botched punt ever to beat Texas, played Kansas State and West Virginia incredibly close in consecutive weeks. They pulled away from Texas Tech late and put together an impressive performance against TCU 10 days ago. They looked like they were really figuring things out, and then along came the Cyclones. The Cowboys trailed the game 24–7 at one point, and it wasn’t until 3:06 left in the 4th quarter that Oklahoma State took the lead. Despite two possessions Iowa State couldn’t mount a response. Which team shows up in Stillwater for the Cowboys on Saturday? My bet is that having survived the scare in Ames, they will be ready for the Bears.
Take a look at this state for the Cowboys in 2015:
This is Oklahoma State’s 5th win this season when it had an in-game win probability of less than 33% via @ESPNStatsInfo— Brett McMurphy (@McMurphyESPN) November 14, 2015
Either that’s incredible, or ESPN’s win probability isn’t very good. Either way, I sure hope that Briles & Son, Inc. are paying close attention. If you get up, do not let your foot off the gas in this game. The Cowboys will come roaring back at ya.
Oklahoma State Cowboys 2015 Individual Stats
Once again, the individual stats produced below come from Bill Connelly’s Advanced Statistical Profile page, which can be found in the link block above. Check it out. It’s neat.
|Mason Rudolph||6’4, 220||SO||219||340||3161||18||8||64.4%||21||5.8%||8.5|
|J.W. Walsh||6’2, 215||SR||22||28||335||10||0||78.6%||0||0.0%||12.0|
|Taylor Cornelius||6’6, 190||FR||2||5||8||0||0||40.0%||2||28.6%||–1.1|
Sophomore Mason Rudolph played his first game in last year’s blackout game at McLane Stadium (side note: can we please have a blackout game that doesn’t feature torrential downpour? That’d be really nice.) and it immediately became apparent that he was the frontrunner for the starting job in 2015. Though he struggled at spots this season, he’s largely retained the job and has performed admirably over the past few weeks. J.W. Walsh still featured in the offense from time to time, mostly as a running threat. Fantastic.
Individual Rushing Stats
|Chris Carson||RB||6’2, 202||JR||108||446||4||4.1||3.4||37.0%||0 (0)|
|Rennie Childs||RB||5’10, 205||JR||62||259||2||4.2||3.9||38.7%||0 (0)|
|J.W. Walsh||QB||6’2, 215||SR||50||226||10||4.5||7.4||28.0%||1 (0)|
|Raymond Taylor||RB||5’8, 195||JR||41||262||4||6.4||6.3||43.9%||0 (0)|
|Mason Rudolph||QB||6’4, 220||SO||34||133||1||3.9||6.2||38.2%||6 (2)|
|Jeff Carr||RB||5’7, 168||FR||33||136||1||4.1||4.6||27.3%||1 (0)|
|Brandon Sheperd||WR||6’1, 195||SR||7||39||0||5.6||2.8||57.1%||0 (0)|
|Jalen McCleskey||WR||5’10, 156||FR||4||25||0||6.3||3.3||75.0%||4 (1)|
|Taylor Cornelius||QB||6’6, 190||FR||2||21||0||10.5||3.5||100.0%||0 (0)|
|NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.|
Like I mentioned before, J.W. Walsh is the "backup" QB but serves more as the Oklahoma State version of the mobile QB. He can still throw it, as shown by his game-winning touchdown pass against Iowa State last Saturday. But by and large, Walsh is there for mobility, and given Baylor’s history with mobile quarterbacks, you can bet that they will attempt to use Walsh to great effect this Saturday night.
I can’t say that I’ve watched the rest of Oklahoma State’s running back corps very closely this season, so I’m relying on the stats fairly heavily here. Walsh is their primary rushing threat inside the red zone, being the only player with over 5 rushing touchdowns. Beyond that, nobody else has 500 rushing yards on the season. That’s a bit unusual to me for a team that’s 10–0 at this point in the season. They do, however, like to air it out a bit more than running it.
Individual Receiving Stats
|James Washington||WR||6’0, 200||SO||72||40||820||7||17.8||9.9||55.6%||19.7%|
|David Glidden||WR||5’8, 185||SR||63||45||714||3||15.9||11.3||71.4%||17.2%|
|Marcell Ateman||WR||6’4, 210||JR||50||33||590||5||17.9||11.8||66.0%||13.7%|
|Brandon Sheperd||WR||6’1, 195||SR||31||16||263||3||16.4||8.5||51.6%||8.5%|
|Austin Hays||WR||6’2, 190||JR||26||20||165||1||8.3||6.4||76.9%||7.1%|
|Jalen McCleskey||WR||5’10, 156||FR||21||20||285||2||14.3||13.6||95.2%||5.7%|
|Jhajuan Seales||WR||6’2, 198||JR||21||12||164||1||13.7||7.8||57.1%||5.7%|
|Blake Jarwin||TE||6’5, 242||JR||19||14||190||2||13.6||10.0||73.7%||5.2%|
|Chris Lacy||WR||6’3, 195||SO||13||8||120||2||15.0||9.2||61.5%||3.6%|
|Chris Carson||RB||6’2, 202||JR||13||9||72||0||8.0||5.5||69.2%||3.6%|
|Jeff Carr||RB||5’7, 168||FR||12||9||40||2||4.4||3.3||75.0%||3.3%|
|Jeremy Seaton||FB||6’2, 250||SR||9||6||70||2||11.7||7.8||66.7%||2.5%|
|Rennie Childs||RB||5’10, 205||JR||6||6||65||0||10.8||10.8||100.0%||1.6%|
|Kameron Doolittle||WR||5’8, 200||SR||2||1||3||0||3.0||1.5||50.0%||0.5%|
|Raymond Taylor||RB||5’8, 195||JR||1||1||13||0||13.0||13.0||100.0%||0.3%|
James Washington is the man you need to watch in this group. He’s emerged as the go-to threat for Mason Rudolph and had a massive game against TCU. He was quieter against the Cyclones last Saturday, but he’s still the man that gets the most targets. Senior David Gladden has fewer targets but more catches and remains a potent threat that the Bears will have to contend with. He gets the ball fewer times, but his yards per target numbers suggest that he is more productive with those targets than Washington. Regardless, both are serious threats.
The Cowboys like to spread the ball around, though, with 7 different receivers with at least 20 targets apiece. This is a stacked WR corps, and you can bet that they’re going to test Baylor’s secondary early and often in this game.
Individual Defensive Statistics
|Name||Pos||Ht, Wt||Year||Tackles||% of Team||TFL||Sacks||Int||PBU||FF||FR|
|Jordan Sterns||S||6’1, 205||JR||68.5||10.9%||1.0||0.0||1||3||1||0|
|Jordan Burton||LB||6’3, 215||JR||58.5||9.3%||7.5||2.5||1||0||0||0|
|Tre Flowers||S||6’3, 190||SO||57.5||9.2%||2.0||0.0||2||5||1||0|
|Chad Whitener||LB||6’1, 240||SO||49.0||7.8%||6.0||2.0||2||0||1||0|
|Emmanuel Ogbah||DE||6’4, 275||JR||42.0||6.7%||15.5||11.0||0||2||2||0|
|Seth Jacobs||LB||6’2, 225||JR||37.0||5.9%||6.0||0.0||2||1||0||0|
|Vincent Taylor||DT||6’3, 300||SO||29.0||4.6%||7.5||4.0||0||0||0||0|
|Kevin Peterson||CB||5’11, 190||SR||24.5||3.9%||3.5||0.0||1||5||0||0|
|Jimmy Bean||DE||6’5, 250||SR||22.5||3.6%||10.5||5.5||0||0||0||0|
|Devante Averette||LB||6’0, 230||JR||22.5||3.6%||3.5||2.0||2||0||0||1|
|Ashton Lampkin||CB||5’11, 185||JR||22.0||3.5%||1.0||0.0||0||5||0||0|
|Michael Hunter||CB||6’0, 191||SR||15.5||2.5%||0.0||0.0||2||1||0||0|
|Miketavius Jones||CB||5’10, 175||SR||13.5||2.2%||2.5||2.5||0||0||1||0|
|Ramon Richards||CB||6’0, 180||SO||13.5||2.2%||1.0||0.0||2||2||1||0|
|Motekiai Maile||DT||6’4, 305||JR||13.0||2.1%||0.0||0.0||0||0||0||0|
|Kirk Tucker||LB||6’2, 195||SO||12.5||2.0%||0.0||0.0||0||0||1||0|
|Jordan Brailford||DE||6’3, 240||FR||12.0||1.9%||2.5||1.0||0||0||0||0|
|Darrion Daniels||DT||6’3, 320||FR||12.0||1.9%||2.5||0.5||0||0||0||0|
|Jerel Morrow||S||6’0, 190||SO||12.0||1.9%||0.0||0.0||0||0||0||0|
|Trace Clark||DE||6’4, 257||SR||11.5||1.8%||0.0||0.0||0||1||0||0|
|Ryan Simmons||LB||6’0, 240||SR||11.5||1.8%||0.0||0.0||0||0||0||0|
|Deric Robertson||S||6’2, 205||JR||10.5||1.7%||0.0||0.0||0||0||0||1|
|Kenneth Edison-McGruder||S||6’2, 205||FR||9.5||1.5%||0.0||0.0||0||0||0||0|
|Darius Curry||CB||6’1, 195||SO||8.5||1.4%||1.0||0.0||0||0||0||0|
|Gyasi Akem||LB||6’1, 215||SO||6.5||1.0%||1.0||0.0||0||0||0||0|
|Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.|
If there’s one name you pay attention to on this list, it should be Emmanuel Ogbah. Ogbah is arguably the best defensive end in the conference. After a rough first half against Iowa State, Ogbah practically built a home in Iowa State’s backfield, harassing, hurrying, and sacking Joel Lanning the entire second half. He was credited with seven tackles, two sacks, and two QB hurries in the game. As Ogbah goes, so goes the Cowboys defense. If the Bears can neutralize him, they will make Jarrett Stidham’s day much, much easier. If not, this could be another tough one for the true freshman QB.
2015 Oklahoma State Cowboys Team Stats and Rankings
|Value||National Leader||Value||Conference |
|3rd Down Conversion Pct (127 ranked)||21||5||0.459||Texas Tech||0.535||Texas Tech||0.535|
|3rd Down Conversion Pct Defense (127 ranked)||57||3||0.377||Clemson||0.210||TCU||0.291|
|4th Down Conversion Pct (127 ranked)||1||1||1.000||Oklahoma St.||1.000||Oklahoma St.||1.000|
|4th Down Conversion Pct Defense (127 ranked)||95||8||0.579||Penn St.||0.167||Baylor
|Blocked Kicks (68 ranked)||34||1||2||Temple||6||Baylor
|Blocked Kicks Allowed (127 ranked)||98||10||3||35 teams tied||0||4 teams tied||0|
|Blocked Punts (23 ranked)||23||1||1||Temple||5||Oklahoma St.
|Blocked Punts Allowed (125 ranked)||1||1||0||69 teams tied||0||8 teams tied||0|
|Completion Percentage (127 ranked)||20||2||0.652||Western Ky.||0.732||Oklahoma||0.704|
|Defensive TDs (30 ranked)||3||1||5||Buffalo||7||Oklahoma St.||5|
|Fewest Penalties (127 ranked)||60||4||61||Navy||30||Iowa St.
|Fewest Penalties Per Game (127 ranked)||61||4||6.10||Navy||3.33||Iowa St.||5.30|
|Fewest Penalty Yards (127 ranked)||64||3||540||Navy||262||Kansas St.||405|
|Fewest Penalty Yards Per Game (127 ranked)||62||3||54.00||Navy||29.11||Iowa St.||44.40|
|First Downs Defense (127 ranked)||68||6||205||Boston College||127||West Virginia||192|
|First Downs Offense (127 ranked)||20||5||245||Texas Tech||318||Texas Tech||318|
|Fumbles Lost (127 ranked)||17||2||4||7 teams tied||2||TCU||2|
|Fumbles Recovered (126 ranked)||16||2||9||4 teams tied||12||Baylor||10|
|Kickoff Return Defense (127 ranked)||82||7||22.09||Ga. Southern||13.89||Kansas St.||16.69|
|Kickoff Returns (127 ranked)||71||6||20.85||Tennessee||38.80||West Virginia||25.15|
|Net Punting (127 ranked)||57||7||37.98||Colorado St.||43.41||Oklahoma||42.05|
|Passes Had Intercepted (127 ranked)||50||3||8||Navy||1||Texas||5|
|Passes Intercepted (125 ranked)||7||2||15||Arkansas St.||21||West Virginia||16|
|Passing Offense (127 ranked)||7||3||353.0||Washington St.||414.4||Texas Tech||391.3|
|Passing Yards Allowed (127 ranked)||80||5||235.5||San Jose St.||144.4||Oklahoma||186.4|
|Passing Yards per Completion (127 ranked)||11||2||14.41||Army West Point||21.67||Baylor||17.09|
|Punt Return Defense (127 ranked)||34||5||5.63||UCLA||–0.50||Oklahoma||0.70|
|Punt Returns (127 ranked)||79||6||7.14||Texas A&M||20.00||Iowa St.||16.68|
|Red Zone Defense (127 ranked)||47||4||0.806||Toledo||0.571||Kansas||0.761|
|Red Zone Offense (127 ranked)||7||1||0.938||Navy||0.976||Oklahoma St.||0.938|
|Rushing Defense (127 ranked)||54||3||157.5||Boston College||71.7||Oklahoma||149.7|
|Rushing Offense (127 ranked)||94||9||144.6||Ga. Southern||378.9||Baylor||292.2|
|Sacks Allowed (126 ranked)||76||4||2.30||Air Force||0.00||TCU||1.20|
|Scoring Defense (127 ranked)||51||2||24.5||Wisconsin||12.3||Oklahoma||19.7|
|Scoring Offense (127 ranked)||7||5||43.6||Baylor||54.8||Baylor||54.8|
|Tackles for Loss Allowed (127 ranked)||65||4||6.00||Toledo||3.22||Texas Tech||4.27|
|Team Passing Efficiency (127 ranked)||9||3||165.22||Baylor||194.21||Baylor||194.21|
|Team Passing Efficiency Defense (127 ranked)||37||3||117.67||Marshall||92.44||Oklahoma||104.68|
|Team Sacks (127 ranked)||5||2||3.50||Penn St.||4.20||Oklahoma||3.60|
|Team Tackles for Loss (126 ranked)||8||2||8.0||Boston College||9.8||Baylor||8.1|
|Time of Possession (127 ranked)||70||6||29:37||Stanford||35:57||Kansas St.||32:39|
|Total Defense (127 ranked)||61||3||393.0||Boston College||236.5||Oklahoma||336.1|
|Total Offense (127 ranked)||18||5||497.6||Baylor||637.9||Baylor||637.9|
|Turnover Margin (127 ranked)||5||1||1.20||Houston||1.80||Oklahoma St.||1.20|
|Turnovers Gained (127 ranked)||5||1||24||Houston
|Turnovers Lost (127 ranked)||20||1||12||Navy
|Winning Percentage (126 ranked)||1||1||1.000||5 teams tied||1.000||Oklahoma St.||1.000
It’s Question Time!
FIRST: How are you feeling after the tough loss to Oklahoma last week?
SECOND: What was your favorite sign from GameDay that you saw?
THIRD: What scares you the most about this weekend’s matchup with Oklahoma State?
FOURTH: What do you think the uniform prediction will be this week?