2/2 BAYLOR (7–0, 4–0) vs. NR/NR Kansas State (3–4, 0–4)
Nov. 5, 2015 | 6:30 p.m. CT
Manhattan, Kan. | Bill Snyder Family Stadium (50,000)
|Watch | Listen | Gametracker | Notes|
OPPONENT: Kansas State Wildcats
ODB GAME HUB: Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats 2015
MEET THE PRESS: Baylor vs. K-State
PREDICT THE SCORE: Kansas State Wildcats
OFFICIAL WEBSITE: www.kstatesports.com
MEDIA GUIDE: 2015 K-State Football Media Guide (Click here for roster)
LAST MEETING: 38–27 Baylor | ODB Game Hub
LAST GAME: L; 23–9 Texas
SB NATION BLOG: Bring On The Cats, at right
SPREAD: Baylor –18.5 (Open: Baylor –18.5)
TV COVERAGE: FS1, 6:30 p.m. CST Thursday WEATHER FORECAST: Thunderstorms, high of 66°, WNW winds 5–10mph (wunderground puts game time temp at 56°, 93% chance of thunderstorms) (OH GIVE ME A BREAK)
Stidham’s Time Is Here
Look, this topic has been analyzed from every angle and beaten to death so I’m just going to leave us with Coach Briles’ words from yesterday’s presser:
Here We Go Again.
There’s one day of weather forecast in Manhattan, Kansas for the next week. Every other day is sunny perfection. But Thursday there will be thunderstorms. Because of course there will. What’s more, the forecast has only gotten firmer that storms of the thunderous variety will be occurring in Manhattan around game time on Thursday. We really hope it won’t happen, but it certainly looks like it might at this point.
K-State Wildcats 2015 Schedule
|South Dakota Coyotes||Saturday, September 05 2015||win 34–0||coverage|
|@ Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners||Saturday, September 12 2015||win 30–3||coverage|
|Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||Saturday, September 19 2015||win 39–33||coverage|
|@ Oklahoma State Cowboys||Saturday, October 03 2015||loss 34–36||coverage|
|TCU Horned Frogs||Saturday, October 10 2015||loss 45–52||coverage|
|Oklahoma Sooners||Saturday, October 17 2015||loss 0–55||coverage|
|@ Texas Longhorns||Saturday, October 24 2015||loss 9–23||coverage|
|Baylor Bears||Thursday, November 05 2015||7:30 PM EST||coverage|
|@ Texas Tech Red Raiders||Friday, November 13 2015||7:00 PM EST||coverage|
|Iowa St. Cyclones||Friday, November 20 2015||7:00 PM EST||coverage|
|@ Kansas Jayhawks||Friday, November 27 2015||7:00 PM EST||coverage|
|West Virginia Mountaineers||Friday, December 04 2015||7:00 PM EST||coverage|
This is such a tough look for K-State. A solid start to the season in the first half of September, albeit with a nervy win over Louisiana Tech towards the end of the month. The Snydercats then opened Big 12 play with a brutal loss to Oklahoma State, then lost a heartbreaker against TCU at home. They absolutely dominated the first half of that tilt, using their ground game to phenomenal success in the first half. Then the ’Cats forgot all about what gave them their lead, started trying to air it out, and lost the game in the final minutes. They followed that loss up with an historic loss against the Sooners at home and a road loss to the Longhorns, leaving them to regroup during their bye week.
K-State Injury Report
|Cre Moore||Out||Personal||Moore is dealing with legal issues and it is unclear when he will return to action.|
|Jesse Ertz||Out||Knee||Ertz will miss an undetermined amount of time with a knee injury.|
|Jonathan Banks||Out||Illness||Banks is dealing with an illness and will miss an unknown amount of time.|
|Dante Barnett||Out||Shoulder||Barnett is sidelined with a shoulder injury and there is no timetable for his return.|
|Kaleb Prewett||Questionable||Undisclosed||Prewett missed the last game due to an undisclosed issue and is questionable to play Thursday against Baylor.|
|Duke Shelley||Questionable||Undisclosed||Shelley is questionable to play Thursday against Baylor due to an undisclosed injury.|
|Alex Delton||Questionable||Knee||Delton is questionable to play Thursday against Baylor due to a knee injury.|
|Nate Jackson||Questionable||Undisclosed||Jackson missed the last game due to an undisclosed issue and is questionable to play Thursday against Baylor.|
|Elijah Lee||Questionable||Undisclosed||Lee is dealing with an unspecified injury and is questionable to play Thursday against Baylor.|
|Danzel McDaniel||Questionable||Undisclosed||McDaniel missed the last game due to an undisclosed issue and is questionable to play Thursday against Baylor.|
This comes from sports-reference.com, and I’m not sure exactly how accurate it is, but it caught my eye, so I decided to include it in this report. Lots of guys out. Really tough breaks for K-State all around.
K-State Wildcats 2015 Individual Stats
If you’ve not been paying close attention to this team, look at the second name on this list. Now, look down below at the Rushing & Receiving Stats at #4. That’s right, the #2 QB on the team is also the third best receiver for the Wildcats in terms of receptions and yards. It’s been a terrible year for K-State QBs. After being named the starter out of fall camps, Jesse Ertz suffered a knee injury on the very first play of their first game against South Dakota. Backup QBs Alex Delton got hurt against UTSA and Jonathan Banks has some sort of mystery illness (not making light here, I just can’t find what it is). That means that the backup became… WR Kody Cook. He looked solid against Oklahoma State and has taken at least a few snaps in each game since.
Rushing & Receiving Stats
The numbers here indicate K-State’s struggles. No running backs (or running quarterbacks) have over 300 yards 7 games into the season. But Snyder has had a full 10 days to prepare for Baylor, and you know that he will attempt to use his mobile quarterback effectively against the Bears. If the weather holds with what we think it will be, look for Snyder to attempt to limit the Bears’ possessions through ball control and a "ground and pound" strategy, much like he did in the first half against TCU. He lost that focus in the second half of that game, and the Frogs came roaring back on him. If the ’Cats get the same sort of lead on Baylor, I don’t expect that he’ll make the same mistake again. The Bears need a fast start and jump out to a quick lead, forcing the Wildcats out of that strategy and make them try to air the ball out to catch up.
2015 K-State Wildcats Team Stats and Rankings
|3rd Down Conv. %||73||7||0.389||Texas Tech||0.550||Texas Tech||0.550|
|3rd Down Defense||99||6||0.433||Clemson||0.212||West Virginia||0.296|
|4th Down Conv. %||22||3||0.667||Oklahoma St.
|4th Down Defense||42||4||0.417||NC State||0.000||Baylor||0.375|
|Blocked Kicks Allowed||1||1||0||45 teams tied||0||4 teams tied||0|
|Blocked Punts Allowed||1||1||0||78 teams tied||0||8 teams tied||0|
|Completion Percentage||121||10||0.456||Western Ky.||0.723||Oklahoma||0.697|
|Defensive TDs||Buffalo||6||Oklahoma St.||4|
|Fewest Penalties||20||1||39||Navy||27||Kansas St.||39|
|Fewest Penalties/Gm||42||1||5.57||Georgia Tech||3.56||Kansas St.||5.57|
|Fewest Penalty Yards||11||1||311||Navy||252||Kansas St.||311|
|Fewest Penalty YPG||28||1||44.43||Georgia Tech||31.67||Kansas St.||44.43|
|First Downs Defense||46||4||151||Clemson||104||Baylor||147|
|First Downs Offense||122||10||127||Texas Tech||263||Texas Tech||263|
|Fumbles Recovered||88||9||4||6 teams tied||10||Baylor
|Kickoff Return Defense||16||2||17.48||Memphis||14.07||Iowa St.||16.77|
|Kickoff Returns||24||3||24.00||Tennessee||40.39||West Virginia||24.96|
|Net Punting||39||4||38.85||San Jose St.||43.52||Baylor||42.29|
|Passes Had Intercepted||40||4||6||LSU||0||Texas||3|
|Passes Intercepted||113||10||3||Arkansas St.
|Passing Offense||115||9||157.3||Bowling Green||434.1||Texas Tech||413.4|
|Passing Yards Allowed||110||8||269.7||San Jose St.||122.1||Oklahoma||168.4|
|Passing Yards/Cplt||17||4||14.12||Army West Point||21.81||Baylor||17.03|
|Punt Return Defense||29||5||5.11||Northwestern||–1.50||Oklahoma||1.29|
|Punt Returns||73||6||7.64||Virginia||26.00||Iowa St.||17.88|
|Red Zone Defense||78||6||0.846||Toledo||0.474||TCU||0.750|
|Red Zone Offense||17||2||0.906||Navy||0.970||Oklahoma St.||0.950|
|Rushing Defense||47||2||147.4||Boston College||64.2||Oklahoma St.||138.5|
|Rushing Offense||85||8||157.3||Ga. Southern||385.6||Baylor||338.3|
|Sacks Allowed||116||9||3.14||Air Force
|Tackles for Loss Allowed||103||8||7.00||Toledo||2.71||TCU||4.13|
|Team Passing Efficiency||114||10||106.19||Baylor||197.82||Baylor||197.82|
|Team Passing Eff. D||93||6||140.16||Marshall||86.86||Oklahoma||101.64|
|Team Sacks||33||4||2.57||Penn St.||3.89||Oklahoma
|Team Tackles for Loss||72||7||5.9||Boston College||9.8||Oklahoma St.||9.0|
|Time of Possession||30||2||32:10||Stanford||34:56||Iowa St.||32:22|
|Total Defense||83||5||417.1||Boston College||223.8||Oklahoma||321.4|
|Winning Percentage||82||6||0.429||11 teams tied||1.000||Baylor
It’s Question Time!
A: This is less a question and more a strong suggestion: check out the folks at BOTC, both on their blog and on Twitter. They’re basically my favorite non-Baylor Big 12 folks. If you have questions for them about K-State that are serious, feel free to ask and we’ll see about getting them answered.
2: How excited/scared are you about seeing Jarrett Stidham in a meaningful spot? 98% excited, 2% scared? Or is it 2% excited, 98% scared?
π: How much does the rain worry you?
§ 2254: It’s been far too long since I’ve requested a gif. Give me a gif that correctly displays your anticipation for Thursday night, your ability to concentrate this week, or something else in .gif form.
Umlaut: Uniform prediction. GO.