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Baylor Offense, Defensive Stats Through Week 7

OH, WE'RE BURNING IT UP OUTCHEA.

By Mark C. Moore
Tom Pennington/Getty Images

So, I've held off on doing full-season projections for various things as I've done in the past simply because it seemed too speculative to even try ... but I can't hold back any longer.

I've got to talk about ...

THE POINTS MACHINE:

Baylor has scored 383 points in 6 games this season for an average of 63.8 points/game. The NCAA record for points/game is 56, and it was set by Army way back in 1944, probably because they had a bit of a monopoly on able-bodied young men.

As for total points, somehow I missed (or had forgotten) that the 2013 Baylor Bears actually set a record for points scored in a 13-game season with 681.  If we play 13 games and score at the same rate we are scoring right now, we will have 829.

If you extend the season to 14 games, the record is now held by the 2013 Florida St. Seminoles with 723.  If we play 14 games and score at the same rate we are scoring now, we will have 893.  We'll beat the 14-game record by 170.

But, in all likelihood, we're not going to keep scoring 64 points/game.  So, the question becomes: how many points do we need to score to break the three records listed above? I'm glad I asked.*

Points/Game: 49.4 points/game to break Army's record in 13 games; 50.25 to do it in 14.
13-Game Record: 42.714 points/game to break 2013 Baylor's record.
14-Game Record: 42.625 points/game to break 2013 FSU's record.

*To make things easier on myself, I rolled over to the next whole point on each season total.

Ok, now let's get to the stats that have actually happened.

Baylor Team Summary:

Baylor Opponents
Scoring: Points/Game 63.8 24.8
Scoring: Games - Points 6 - 383 6 - 149
First Downs: Total 198 124
First Downs: Rushing - Passing - By Penalty 103 - 86 - 9 49 - 58 - 17
Rushing: Yards / Attempt 7.14 3.32
Rushing: Attempts - Yards - TD 293 - 2092 - 20 249 - 827 - 6
Passing: Rating 215.05 127.78
Passing: Yards 2226 1462
Passing: Attempts - Completions - Interceptions - TD 190 - 126 - 5 - 32 215 - 123 - 7 - 13
Total Offense: Yards / Play 8.94 4.93
Total Offense: Plays - Yards 483 - 4318 464 - 2289
Punt Returns: Yards / Return 5.70 1.00
Punt Returns: Returns - Yards - TD 10 - 57 - 0 4 - 4 - 0
Kickoff Returns: Yards / Return 23.86 24.97
Kickoff Returns: Returns - Yards - TD 14 - 334 - 0 33 - 824 - 1
Punting: Yards / Punt 45.67 39.62
Punting: Punts - Yards 12 - 548 37 - 1466
Interceptions: Returns - Yards - TD 7 - 81 - 0 5 - 83 - 0
Fumbles: Number - Lost 8 - 3 10 - 7
Penalties: Number - Yards 57 - 528 58 - 499
Time of Possession / Game 26:09.17 33:50.83
3rd Down Conversions: Conversion % 50.68% 37.76%
3rd Down Conversions: Attempts - Conversions 73 - 37 98 - 37
4th Down Conversions: Conversion % 68.75% 30.77%
4th Down Conversions: Attempts - Conversions 16 - 11 13 - 4
Red Zone: Success % 89.19% 81.25%
Red Zone: Attempts - Scores 37 - 33 16 - 13
Field Goals: Success % 80% 60%
Field Goals: Attempts - Made 5 - 4 5 - 3
PAT Kicking: Success % 100% 100%
PAT Kicking: Attempts - Made 51 - 51 20 - 20
2-Point Conversions: Success % 50% -
2-Point Conversions: Attempts - Made 2 - 1 0 - 0

That's good stuff, and I'm glad to be a part of it. As long as we keep up the 89% in red zone scoring opportunities and continue outscoring our opponents by 39 points per game, we should be pretty good.

Incidentally, with 4315 yards so far, we have officially gained more yards in six games than any of Guy Morriss' teams did in 12.  Or sometimes 11.

Baylor National Ranks:

Team Stats - Through games 10/20/2015
Stat Rank Value
Total Offense 1 719.7
Rushing Offense 2 348.7
Passing Offense 6 371.0
Team Passing Efficiency 1 215.04
Scoring Offense 1 63.8
Total Defense 61 381.5
Rushing Defense 39 137.8
Passing Yards Allowed 89 243.7
Team Passing Efficiency Defense 66 127.77
Scoring Defense 58 24.8
Turnover Margin T-11 1.00
3rd Down Conversion Pct 5 0.507
4th Down Conversion Pct 20 0.688
3rd Down Conversion Pct Defense 60 0.381
4th Down Conversion Pct Defense T-22 0.308
Red Zone Offense 28 0.892
Red Zone Defense T-51 0.813
Net Punting 1 45.33
Punt Returns 95 5.70
Kickoff Returns 32 23.86
First Downs Offense 4 198
First Downs Defense 57 124
Fewest Penalties Per Game 127 9.50
Fewest Penalty Yards Per Game 126 88.00
Time of Possession 117 26:09
View Complete Ranking Summary

Be sure to file away that "higher national rank in rushing offense than passing offense" stat for when people call our offense the "Air Raid," friends.

Typically, the fewer triple-digit ranks I see on here, the better.  And this week is no different, since the only ones we have are for fewest penalties, where things are actually improving, and time of possession, which could not matter less.

Offensive Stats:

People are always bugging me for per-play stats, so I thought I'd add them to the post this week:

Baylor is averaging 8.94 yards/play, more than a full yard ahead of the national #2 (TCU). #3 is Texas Tech. The NCAA record for yards/play was set by Hawaii in 2006 at 8.58.

Passing Stats:

Name Yr Pos G Att Comp Pct. Yards Yards/Att TD Int Rating Att/G Yards/G
1 Seth Russell JR QB 6 163 103 63.2 1907 11.7 27 5 209.99 27.2 317.8
2 Jarrett Stidham FR QB 6 27 23 85.2 319 11.8 5 0 245.55 4.5 53.2
Total 6 190 126 66.3 2226 11.7 32 5 215.05 31.7 371.0

Scotty. Too. Hotty.

Seth Russell leads the nation in passer rating among qualified QBs, has accounted for an astounding 32 TDs in just 6 games, and has thrown just 5 interceptions, with 1 (that shouldn't even have counted) coming in the last three games.  He's #onpace for about 3800 passing and about 680 rushing (in 12 games, obviously), although that second number is trending significantly higher after he threw down 160 on the ground against West Virginia. It's possible that with another big game or two like this past weekend, Russell could pass the 5000-yard mark on the season in a bowl game or the CFB Playoff.  It's not likely, but it's possible.

His backup, the freshman phenom Jarrett Stidham, has 5 TDs against 4 incompletions on the entire year in mop-up time.  But, as Mark May has said about our offense recently, that's good even against air.

Rushing Stats:

Name Yr Pos G Att Yards Avg. TD Att/G Yards/G
1 Shock Linwood JR RB 6 94 803 8.54 8 15.67 133.83
2 Terence Williams FR RB 6 61 417 6.84 1 10.17 69.50
3 Johnny Jefferson SO RB 6 57 372 6.53 4 9.50 62.00
4 Seth Russell JR QB 6 41 338 8.24 5 6.83 56.33
5 Devin Chafin JR RB 3 20 107 5.35 1 6.67 35.67
6 Corey Coleman JR WR 6 8 32 4.00 0 1.33 5.33
7 Jarrett Stidham FR QB 6 10 23 2.30 1 1.67 3.83
8 KD Cannon SO WR 6 1 2 2.00 0 0.17 0.33
9 Team 1 1 -2 -2.00 0 1.00 -2.00
Total 6 293 2092 7.14 20 48.83 348.67

Even with a clunker of a game against West Virginia, Shock Linwood is still #onpace for about 1600 rushing yards and 16 TDs as a junior, which would put him firmly in the #1 spot in the Baylor career rushing list.

Receiving Stats:

Name Yr Pos G Rec. Yards Avg. TD Rec./G Yards/G
1 Corey Coleman JR WR 6 41 877 21.39 16 6.8 146.2
2 Jay Lee SR WR 6 21 494 23.52 6 3.5 82.3
3 KD Cannon SO WR 6 20 324 16.20 3 3.3 54.0
4 Chris Platt FR WR 6 8 114 14.25 1 1.3 19.0
5 Ishmael Zamora FR WR 6 7 103 14.71 2 1.2 17.2
6 Lynx Hawthorne JR WR 6 9 78 8.67 1 1.5 13.0
7 Davion Hall SO WR 6 4 55 13.75 1 0.7 9.2
8 Gus Penning SR TE 6 2 48 24.00 0 0.3 8.0
9 Chris Johnson SO QB 4 3 37 12.33 0 0.8 9.3
10 Quan Jones SO WR 5 3 34 11.33 0 0.6 6.8
11 LaQuan McGowan SR TE 6 1 18 18.00 1 0.2 3.0
12 Shock Linwood JR RB 6 2 17 8.50 0 0.3 2.8
13 Johnny Jefferson SO RB 6 3 13 4.33 0 0.5 2.2
14 Trevor Clemons-Valdez SR TE 2 1 9 9.00 1 0.5 4.5
15 Devin Chafin JR RB 3 1 5 5.00 0 0.3 1.7
Total 6 126 2226 17.67 32 21.0 371.0

Just out of curiosity, I pulled the numbers for Corey Coleman and Josh Doctson in 6 and 7 games, respectively.

Coleman -- 41 catches, 877 yards, 16 TDs, 21.39 yards/reception, 6.8 catches/game
Doctson -- 60 catches, 1067 yards, 12 TDs, 17.78 yards/reception, 8.6 catches/game

Projecting Coleman's numbers to 7 games puts him at 48/1023/19 (with a little rounding). Either teams are going to have to completely change the way they're defending Coleman, or he's going to destroy some pretty prominent records this year.  He might do it, anyway.

Defensive Stats:

Baylor is giving up 4.93 yards/play, third in the Big 12 behind Oklahoma (4.34) and OSU (4.54).  We're giving up 6.8 yards/attempt passing, fourth behind OU (5.2), OSU (6.1), and TCU (6.6), and 3.32 yards/attempt rushing, first in the conference.

Nationally, we are and #34, #54, and #22 in those stats, respectively. If you want to find somewhere to criticize our defense, it's that we're #66 in plays allowed over 20 yards and #83 in plays allowed over 30 yards.  Far from a bend-but-don't-break defense, ours is a defense-that-rarely-bends-but-sometimes-breaks.  The name is a work-in-progress.

Tackles:

Name Yr Pos G Solo Assisted Total Total/G
1 Grant Campbell SR LB 6 30 17 47 7.83
2 Chance Waz SO DB 6 28 7 35 5.83
3 Travon Blanchard SO DB 6 25 9 34 5.67
4 Orion Stewart JR DB 5 25 6 31 6.20
5 Taylor Young SO LB 5 19 7 26 5.20
6 Jamal Palmer SR DL 6 16 6 22 3.67
7 Andrew Billings JR DL 6 20 1 21 3.50
8 Aiavion Edwards JR LB 6 15 6 21 3.50
9 Xavien Howard JR DB 6 17 2 19 3.17
10 Taion Sells JR DB 6 14 4 18 3.00
11 Raaquan Davis SO LB 6 14 4 18 3.00
12 Shawn Oakman SR DL 5 14 3 17 3.40
13 Ryan Reid JR DB 6 9 4 13 2.17
14 Beau Blackshear SR DL 6 8 5 13 2.17
15 Patrick Levels JR DB 6 10 0 10 1.67
16 Terrell Burt SR DB 6 10 0 10 1.67
17 K.J. Smith SO DL 6 8 2 10 1.67
18 Davion Hall SO WR 6 6 1 7 1.17
19 Brian Nance SO DL 6 4 2 6 1.00
20 Kendall Ehrlich JR LB 5 5 0 5 1.00
21 Alfred Pullom SO DB 6 5 0 5 0.83
22 Byron Bonds JR DL 5 1 4 5 1.00
23 Kaleb Moore JR WR 6 3 0 3 0.50
24 Tyler Jaynes SO DB 6 1 2 3 0.50
25 Greg Roberts FR DL 4 2 0 2 0.50
26 Verkedric Vaughns FR DB 5 2 0 2 0.40
27 Tion Wright JR DB 5 2 0 2 0.40
28 Jamie Jacobs FR DL 3 1 1 2 0.67
29 Jarrod Koym FR DB 2 1 0 1 0.50
30 Xavier Jones FR DL 5 1 0 1 0.20
31 Shock Linwood JR RB 6 1 0 1 0.17
32 Terrence Singleton JR DB 6 1 0 1 0.17
33 KD Cannon SO WR 6 1 0 1 0.17
34 Team 1 0 1 1 1.00
Total 6 319 94 413 68.83

Not a ton of movement here from where things were a week ago, so there's not a lot to say.

Tackles for Loss:

Name Yr Pos G TFL TFL Yards TFL/G
1 Andrew Billings JR DL 6 8.0 24 1.33
2 Shawn Oakman SR DL 5 7.5 30 1.50
3 Jamal Palmer SR DL 6 7.5 17 1.25
4 Taylor Young SO LB 5 5.5 20 1.10
5 Beau Blackshear SR DL 6 3.0 14 0.50
6 Travon Blanchard SO DB 6 3.0 6 0.50
7 Grant Campbell SR LB 6 2.5 11 0.42
8 K.J. Smith SO DL 6 2.5 5 0.42
9 Brian Nance SO DL 6 2.0 8 0.33
10 Patrick Levels JR DB 6 2.0 3 0.33
11 Orion Stewart JR DB 5 1.5 12 0.30
12 Raaquan Davis SO LB 6 1.5 1 0.25
13 Terrell Burt SR DB 6 1.0 3 0.17
14 Xavien Howard JR DB 6 1.0 2 0.17
15 Taion Sells JR DB 6 1.0 1 0.17
16 Chance Waz SO DB 6 1.0 1 0.17
17 Byron Bonds JR DL 5 0.5 2 0.10
Total 6 51.0 160 8.50

The Bears are averaging 8.5 TFL/game this year, good for #8 in the country (bet you didn't see THAT coming).  Andrew Billings leads the way with 8 in 6 games because he's a monster that cares not for artificial boundaries like the line of scrimmage. Oakman leads on a per-game basis and is #onpace for 18 in 13 team games (12 games for him).

Sacks:

Name Yr Pos G Sacks Sack Yards Sacks/G
1 Shawn Oakman SR DL 5 3.0 23 0.60
2 Jamal Palmer SR DL 6 2.5 8 0.42
3 Grant Campbell SR LB 6 1.5 10 0.25
4 Orion Stewart JR DB 5 1.0 11 0.20
5 Taylor Young SO LB 5 1.0 8 0.20
6 Brian Nance SO DL 6 1.0 7 0.17
7 Andrew Billings JR DL 6 1.0 3 0.17
8 Patrick Levels JR DB 6 1.0 2 0.17
Total 6 12.0 72 2.00

As excited as I am about the TFL, this chart is a big disappointment so far. Baylor just isn't getting to the QB so far this season and is tied for 60th in sacks/game.  Could that number go up against less-mobile QBs? Possibly, but I don't know how many of those we have left on the schedule.

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