At 6:30 PM CST, the Week 12 CFP Rankings will be announced on ESPN to a world exhausted by fanbases trolling each other. These will be the first rankings to take into consideration Baylor's big win over Oklahoma on Saturday, and we should move up considerably. Here's my guess as to how things will work out:
On the Cusp
However it comes out. My top 8 are the 8 teams that I think still have a realistic shot of actually making the CFB Playoff this season, and it obviously includes Baylor and TCU.
If this is how things turn out, please don't freak out because we're still behind TCU. Patience is a virtue, and in this situation, as long as we're within a spot or two, maybe even three, of the Frogs, we should be fine. At this point they've played and beaten Kansas State, the team we'll catch at home the last week of the year. We'll see how things turn out. I'll be more interested tonight in hearing how the Committee members respond to our win than anything else.
I'll update this post in the next hour or so as the real rankings come down, so check back!
UPDATE: I was mostly right, except TCU jumped Bama and Oregon, FSU. Both are a bit surprising.
|Rank||Team||Last week||Week 11 result||Toughest opponent left (per F/+)||If the season ended today ...|
|1||Mississippi State (8-0)||1||Won 45-16 vs. Tennessee-Martin||Alabama||Sugar Bowl vs. TCU|
|2||Oregon (8-1)||4||Won 51-27 at No. 17 Utah||Oregon State||Rose Bowl vs. Florida State|
|3||Florida State (8-0)||2||Won 34-20 vs. Virginia||Miami||Rose Bowl vs. Oregon|
|4||TCU (7-1)||6||Won 41-20 vs. No. 7 Kansas State||Texas||Sugar Bowl vs. Mississippi State|
|5||Alabama (7-1)||5||Won 20-13 (OT) at No. 16 LSU||Auburn||Orange Bowl|
|6||Arizona State (7-1)||14||Won 55-31 vs. No. 10 Notre Dame||Arizona||New Year's bowl|
|7||Baylor (7-1)||13||Won 48-14 at No. 15 Oklahoma||Kansas State||New Year's bowl|
|8||Ohio State (7-1)||14||Won 49-37 at No. 8 Michigan State||Minnesota||New Year's bowl|
|9||Auburn (7-1)||3||Lost 41-38 vs. Texas A&M||Alabama||New Year's bowl|
|10||Ole Miss (7-2)||12||Won 48-0 vs. Presbyterian||Mississippi State||New Year's bowl|
|11||UCLA (7-2)||18||Won 44-30 at Washington||USC||New Year's bowl|
|12||Michigan State (7-1)||8||Lost 49-37 vs. No. 14 Ohio State||Maryland|
|13||Kansas State (7-1)||7||Lost 41-20 at No. 6 TCU||Baylor|
|14||Arizona (6-2)||19||Won 38-20 vs. Colorado||Arizona State|
|15||Georgia (6-2)||20||Won 63-31 at Kentucky||Auburn|
|17||LSU (7-2)||16||Lost 20-13 (OT) vs. No. 5 Alabama||Arkansas|
|18||Notre Dame (7-1)||10||Lost 55-31 at No. 9 Arizona State||Louisville|
|19||Clemson (6-2)||21||Won 34-20 at Wake Forest||Georgia Tech||Orange Bowl|
|20||Wisconsin (6-2)||25||Won 34-16 at Purdue||Nebraska|
|21||Duke (7-1)||22||Won 27-10 at Syracuse||Virginia Tech|
|22||Georgia Tech (7-2)||24||Won 56-23 at NC State||Georgia|
|23||Utah (6-2)||17||Lost 51-27 vs. No. 4 Oregon||Arizona|
|24||Texas A&M (7-3)||NR||Won 41-38 at No. 3 Auburn||LSU|
|25||Minnesota (7-2)||NR||Won 51-14 vs. Iowa||Ohio State|