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Big 12 MBB Preview: 3/6-3/7

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The final slate of regular season Big 12 games!

NCAA Basketball: Baylor at Texas Tech Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

#17 Oklahoma State @ #6 West Virginia

Saturday, March 6th 1:00 PM CT, ESPN2

#17 Oklahoma State (17-7, 10-7) looks to get back on track after having its 5 game winning streak broken by Baylor during the week. #6 West Virginia (18-7, 11-5) similarly took a tough loss to Baylor during the week, but bounced back decently with a win over TCU. At this point, this game is all about tournament seeding and building momentum entering the post season. One of the biggest keys to look for is the condition of Oklahoma State’s Cade Cunningham, who rolled his ankle against Baylor. Cunningham is almost unanimously considered the first pick of the next NBA Draft, so losing him for any period of play in the postseason would be devastating for the Cowboys. I have to imagine that since this game only really matters for seeding, if there is any lingering injury Cunningham will sit in this game. If that’s the case, I’ll take West Virginia at home. West Virginia beat Oklahoma State by three the last time they played.

82-77 West Virginia

Iowa State @ Kansas State

Saturday, March 6th 4:00 PM CT, ESPN+

This is it, this is the last opportunity for Iowa State (2-20, 0-17) to avoid going winless in regular season conference play. This season has already been a historic low for the Cyclones but that would truly move the season to a whole different depth of disappointment. Kansas State (7-19, 3-14) looked like they had built a little momentum with wins against TCU and Oklahoma before getting dominated by West Virginia in their last game. This is a matchup Iowa State could win, in fact probably their best chance of the season. However, the Cyclones lost by 9 in Ames the last time these two faced-off. It’s just a question of if there’s any fight left for Iowa State. However, I will stay true to my prediction that Iowa State would get a win this week. So the Cyclones barely collect their first conference win here.

71-70 Iowa State

#18 Texas Tech @ #3 Baylor

Sunday, March 7th 3:00 PM CT, ESPN

What better way to end the regular season than with a good ‘ole BU-TT game? Baylor (20-1, 12-1) looks like they regained a lot of their stamina after their prolonged COVID break with a pair of great wins during the week over West Virginia and Oklahoma State, securing a Big 12 regular season title. They have another great opportunity at a tune-up before the post season against #18 Texas Tech (17-8, 9-7). Baylor has reestablished their offensive prowess during the week, and while the defense has been better than it was in their loss against Kansas, I think that’s where I’d like to see the most improvement in this game. Texas Tech is on a much needed three game winning streak, securing wins against Texas, TCU, and Iowa State. They cannot be taken lightly. Baylor beat the Red Raiders by 8 in their last matchup in Lubbock. I think homecourt advantage and continually improving play gives Baylor a 10 point win here.

83-73 Baylor

#15 Texas @ TCU

Sunday, March 7th 6:00 PM CT, ESPN+

#15 Texas (16-7, 10-6) secured a key victory over rival Oklahoma during the week, propelling the Longhorns to a two game winning streak. For them, this game matters significantly for seeding in both the Big 12 and NCAA tournaments. TCU (12-12, 5-10), on the other hand, is a lock for the 8th seed in the Big 12 Tournament and is not making the NCAA Tournament barring a conference tournament-winning run. So this game matters much less for the Horned Frogs beyond rivalry and pride. Texas beat TCU by 15 the last time they played. I expect this game to be a Texas win in the 10 point range.

73-62 Texas