clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Big 12 Week Twelve Football Preview

We light up the blue Big 12 logo in honor of Kansas becoming legends!

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: SEP 07 Coastal Carolina at Kansas Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Iowa State @ #13 Oklahoma

Saturday, November 20th 11:00 AM CT, FOX

#13 Oklahoma (9-1, 6-1) is fresh off of its first loss of the season at the hands of your Baylor Bears. The Sooners (and especially Lincoln Riley) will be angry after their extremely lackluster performance against the Baylor defense. However, it will be tough sledding moving forward as both Iowa State and Oklahoma State, OU’s last two opponents, have defenses that are comparable to (or even better) than Baylor’s. The Sooners will have to quickly figure out if Caleb Williams or Spencer Rattler will best be able to navigate these challenging defenses as OU’s quarterback, as neither seemed up to the task against Baylor. Meanwhile, I don’t even really know what to say about Iowa State (6-4, 4-3) and their loss to Texas Tech. The Cyclones have so much talent that returned from a year ago, it’s surprising to see them struggle like they have. However, I honestly don’t know what you do when a kicker hits a 62 yard bomb of a field goal as time expires to beat you. Regardless, the Cyclones need to put that behind them and get ready to take on the Sooners. A win here would be very helpful for Baylor, who basically just needs to win out and have OU lose to make it to the Big 12 championship game. While I think OU is more likely to lose to Oklahoma State, the Cyclones’ defense could give them a chance here if they get back on the right track. Oklahoma is a 4 point favorite here. However, I’ll take the Cyclones until I see otherwise that Williams/Rattler/the OU offense can get its act back together.

35-31 Iowa State

Texas @ West Virginia

Saturday, November 20th 11:00 AM CT, ESPN2

Excuse me, I just need to do this real quick...


Okay, thank you for coming to my TEDxas talk. But really, Texas (4-6, 2-5) has had a full on season collapse that is unheard of in almost 70 years. I have no idea what Sark can do at this point to salvage the season, as he has landed in one of the quickest hot seats I can think of. Both Texas and West Virginia (4-6, 2-5) need to win out to make a bowl game. I would say that’s pretty near impossible for the Longhorns, but West Virginia has a real shot with Texas and Kansas remaining on the schedule. West Virginia suffered a disappointing loss to KState over the weekend, but the Wildcats are sneaky good so that shouldn’t bother them too terribly. West Virginia is favored by 2.5 at home. I like the Mountaineers to cover and get the win.

28-20 West Virginia

Kansas @ TCU

Saturday, November 20th 3:00 PM CT, ESPN+

Kansas (2-8, 1-6) is coming off of a massive win for first year coach Lance Leipold, as they now try to make lightning strike twice in their road game against TCU (4-6, 2-6). The Horned Frogs are fresh off of an epic smackdown at the hands of Oklahoma State, losing 63-17. Even with these teams trending in different directions, however, I think TCU gets the win at home that they need to have a shot at bowl eligibility. The Horned Frogs are favored by 22 points, a margin that again feels far too big (Texas was favored by 31). I’ll take TCU to win, but Kansas to cover.

48-35 TCU

#11 Baylor @ Kansas State

Saturday, November 20th 4:30 PM CT, FS1

#11 Baylor (8-2, 5-2) secured a critical, dominate victory over Oklahoma last weekend. They now have a legitimate shot at making the Big 12 championship game. The first part of that basically requires Baylor winning out, which starts with a tough road game against Kansas State (7-3, 4-3). Baylor has been subpar in hostile environments, something Aranda himself has acknowledged. The Bears will need to get out of that slump and come out with a lot of effort and precision to get this win. The Wildcats have won their last four games in a row after losing their opening three games in conference play. A lot of that has to do with quarterback Skylar Thompson’s consistency in running the KState offense. Baylor’s defense should be able to get some traction against the Wildcats, especially if the Bears’ secondary is playing like it did against Oklahoma. From there, the big thing will be for Gerry Bohannon and the Baylor offense to play consistently and minimize costly mistakes. The line on this game has moved to a 1 point spread in favor of Baylor, so it’s essentially a pick ‘em. Give me the Bears to secure a much needed conference road win.

31-23 Baylor

#9 Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech

Saturday, November 20th 7:00 PM CT, FOX

#9 Oklahoma State (9-1, 6-1) is in the driver’s seat for the Big 12 championship game and still has a pretty legitimate shot at making the College Football Playoff. All that depends on them continuing to win, however. Which they have done just fine, absolutely dominating TCU last weekend. Texas Tech (6-4, 3-4) has secured bowl eligibility in spite of their coach being fired midseason. They picked up a huge victory over Iowa State on the leg of kicker Jonathan Garibay, who hit a 62 yard field goal to secure a win as time expired. However, the Cowboys have posed an entirely different challenge for nearly every team they’ve played this season given their elite defense. The Cowboys are favored by 10.5, and I think they likely cover that (although, a Tech win here would also be a big help for Baylor’s conference championship hopes).

35-20 Oklahoma State

FieldinOfDreams’ 2021 Prediction Record through Week 11: 48-17