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Big 12 Preview: Week 11

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Only two games in the Big 12 this weekend but they have a lot of significance for the conference title race!

Oklahoma v Oklahoma State Photo by Brian Bahr/Getty Images

#17 Iowa State vs. Kansas State

Saturday, November 21st 3:00 PM CT, FOX

#17 Iowa State (5-2, 5-1) has themselves in a really nice spot when it comes to the Big 12 championship race. The Cyclones’ only loss was to Oklahoma State and their toughest remaining game is against Texas. Nevertheless, the Cyclones absolutely must beat Kansas State (4-3, 4-2) to remain in the driver’s seat for a championship berth. Kansas State looked like they were going to make a play for the top of the Big 12 until quarterback Skylar Thompson was knocked out for the season with an injury. Will Howard has been nowhere near as efficient, throwing five touchdowns and five interceptions and carrying a nearly 40 points weaker QB rating in comparison to Thompson. This Farmageddon is Iowa State’s to lose, and I think they’ll wrap this one up. Iowa State is 11 point favorites over KState.

28-23 Iowa State

#14 Oklahoma State @ #18 Oklahoma

Saturday, November 21st 6:30 PM CT, ABC

It’s Bedlam weekend! #14 Oklahoma State (5-1, 4-1) travels to #18 Oklahoma (5-2, 4-2) for a massive rivalry showdown when it comes to the Big 12 championship race. Oklahoma has righted the ship after two early losses, winning their last four games by an average of 28.5 points. However, with Texas as an exception, most of those games were against some of the lower ranking teams in the conference this year. Much of those blowout wins have to do with Spencer Rattler settling in after a terrible pair of early conference games. Oklahoma State has the better record but has not looked nearly as dominant as of late. The Cowboys barely earned a 2 point victory over Kansas State in their last game, lost to Texas the game before that, and beat Iowa State by only 3 points. Oklahoma State has gotten most of the wins they need but not in convincing fashion.

The Sooners are 7 point favorites in this one. I think this game ends up even closer than that, as it seems like this rivalry always comes down to some last second shenanigans. But I do ultimately think OU wins out and here’s why: OSU quarterback Spencer Sanders has 5 touchdowns on the season and 3 interceptions and has thrown for 766 yards. Spencer Rattler, on the other hand, has accumulated 2018 yards with 18 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. I will grant you that Sanders was out for two games. However, even if we double Sanders attempts so that he is close to Rattler’s number of attempts and assume Sanders is playing at about the same level for all those attempts, his line would only come out to 10 TDs, 6 INTs, and 1500 yards. That’s a big lean to Rattler and I think quarterbacks ultimately win the day in shootout rivalry games like this one very well might be.

52-49 Oklahoma