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Big 12 Football Week 9 Preview

Baylor is off on a well deserved bye week... but we’ve got plenty of Big 12 action with some potential upsets!

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: OCT 05 Oklahoma at Kansas Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

#5 Oklahoma @ Kansas State

Saturday, October 26th 11:00 AM CT, ABC

#5 Oklahoma (7-0, 4-0) travels to Kansas State (4-2, 1-2) for an early kickoff with potentially wide reaching conference race implications. Oklahoma has the chance to take sole possession of first place in the conference with Baylor on a bye. The Sooners have looked explosive on offense and good on defense, which should help them survive an always challenging road test against the Wildcats. KState is coming off a nice win against the Horned Frogs, which gives them some momentum coming into this game. However, the offensive production still isn’t strong enough to keep up with OU.

35-17 Oklahoma

#15 Texas @ TCU

Saturday, October 26th 2:30 PM CT, FOX

TCU (3-3, 1-2) hosts instate rival, #15 Texas (5-2, 3-1) in a VERY important game for both teams. TCU is in a real fight for bowl eligibility at this point. They have to win half of their remaining games which include Texas, Baylor, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, West Virginia, and Oklahoma State. This home game against Texas might actually be one of the three best chances they have left at wins. The line at the time of writing this article is one point in favor of Texas. Much of that pessimism toward Texas seems to come from their horrible defensive performance against Kansas. The Longhorns couldn’t stop anything Kansas wanted to do. Here’s the issue... Kansas has a better offense than TCU at this point in the season. But, even with injuries and issues, TCU’s defense is much better than Kansas’s. I think that defensive edge is where the Horned Frogs get traction in this game. Even with a not great offense, TCU will get points on the board. And the defense might do enough against Sam Ehlinger to make the Horned Frog offensive production sufficient. First upset of the day.

31-28 TCU

Oklahoma State @ #23 Iowa State

Saturday, October 26th 2:30 PM CT, FS1

Oklahoma State (4-3, 1-3) put up a good fight against Baylor last weekend before collapsing in the 4th quarter. They now travel to Baylor’s statistical twin, #23 Iowa State (5-2, 3-1). Oklahoma State’s offense was held relatively in check by the Baylor defense... yeah Chuba Hubbard got 171 yards and two touchdowns, but it took him a whopping 32 carries to get there. For comparison, Baylor’s Jamycal Hasty had exactly half the number of carries and got 146 yards and two touchdowns. Oklahoma State quarterback Spencer Sanders also struggled against the Baylor defense, coughing up a pair of critical turnovers. The Cyclones bring a nearly identical defensive look as the Bears. So on the plus side, Oklahoma State should already have some game planning prepared. On the negative side, it didn’t work exceptionally well last week. Iowa State’s quarterback Brock Purdy will have plenty of opportunity to tear apart the Cowboy secondary and the Cyclones’ new found gem at running back, true freshman Breece Hall, ought to eat. Against a strong Tech defense, Hall was able to amass 183 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries. Iowa State gets this one done in Ames.

38-17 Iowa State

Texas Tech @ Kansas

Saturday, October 26th 6:00 PM CT, FS1

Alright folks, Kansas (2-5, 0-4) looked downright saucey on offense against the Longhorns last week. They laid 48 points on the Longhorns, including a critical 2 point conversion late in the game that they easily converted. New offensive coordinator Brent Dearmon certainly seems to have brought a new spark that the offense desperately needed. Granted, Texas’s defense also looked baaaaaddddd. But, Carter Stanley has been a rapidly improving quarterback throughout the season who put it all together last weekend. The Jayhawks are going to get a conference win (or maybe even wins) this season. Their best chance might actually be against instate rival KState next weekend. But why wait a week? The Jayhawks have Texas Tech (3-4, 1-3) at home and are looking to spring the upset they’ve been fighting for in conference play. Tech had a close, emotional loss to Baylor two weeks ago. They couldn’t seem to put that away and predictably got ran over by Iowa State at home last weekend. That’s demoralizing for a team. Now they travel to Lawrence for a game everyone has probably circled as a win for a while. Unless the Red Raiders have actually been able to put the past two weeks behind them and take Kansas seriously, they’re going to be in for a rude awakening. Tech quarterback Jett Duffey has looked serviceable, but I honestly believe Kansas’s Stanley is the bigger quarterback threat in this matchup. Combine that with it being a Kansas home game and Les Miles at the wheel? Give me the Jayhawks to pull off a shootout victory for the second Big 12 upset of the day.

48-45 Kansas