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Big 12 Power Rankings 10/9

Let’s discuss if Texas is actually back

West Virginia v Texas Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images

1) Oklahoma (5-0, 2-0)- The Sooners are favored by 10.5 against Texas on Saturday. Maybe Texas pulls a shocking upset—they’ve done that before only to have a much worse season than Oklahoma multiple times this decade—but I don’t see it. The Sooners have the league’s best roster, and they’re built to make the playoff.

2) Baylor (5-0, 2-0)- Baylor has the Big 12’s most impressive victory over Iowa State. The Bears rank higher than Texas in SP+. They have a much better defense. And Baylor ranks substantially better in FEI.

3) Texas (4-1, 1-1)- Most people rank Texas better than Baylor. I need to see something beyond getting lit up by LSU to rank Texas ahead of the advanced metric-favored Bears. The Longhorns have one heck of an offense. Let’s see if they can play defense against Oklahoma.

4) Iowa State (3-2, 1-1)- Iowa State fans will look back and wonder what might have been with a few breaks against Iowa and Baylor. But that’s life.

5) Oklahoma State (3-2, 1-1)- While I’m aware this violates my general rule that head-to-head matters, I’m ranking the best teams. Texas Tech probably caught Oklahoma State on a bad day. The Cowboys would probably beat the Red Raiders a majority of the time.

6) Texas Tech (3-2, 1-1)- A nice win against Oklahoma State, but they’re a year or two away from being in the top four.

7) Kansas State (3-2, 0-2)- The Wildcats’ offense needs to get going. Their win against Mississippi State doesn’t have the value it once had.

8) TCU (3-2, 1-1)- The Horned Frogs need to improve at quarterback drastically if they hope to go bowling.

9) West Virginia (3-2, 1-1)- Maybe this team is better than we’re giving them credit for after playing Texas relatively close. I’m still a ways from maybe becoming reality.

10) Kansas (2-4, 0-2)- They’ll always have Boston College.