After their road game against Iowa State, Baylor returns home to take on rival TCU on November 17th in their second to last regular season game of the year. Baylor has lost the last few matchups but put up a good fight against the Horned Frogs last season.
Offensively, TCU’s biggest question mark is the quarterback spot. After the statistically great Trevone Boykin left, TCU has been less than ideal at the quarterback spot at times with Kenny Hill. But, Kenny Hill did improve enough last season to get the Frogs to the Big 12 Championship game. This year it looks like Shawn Robinson will be taking over the reigns. The brief look we got of Shawn Robinson wasn’t great, he only went 6 of 17 against Texas Tech while Kenny Hill was hurt, one of the easier Big 12 defenses to play against. Outside of the quarterback position, TCU returns a lot of explosive players. Running backs Darius Anderson and Sewo Olonilua and wide receivers Jalen Reagor and KaVontae Turpin all return (yes Turpin still has eligibility somehow).
Defensively, the Horned Frogs have made a name for themselves with one of the most consistent defenses year in and year out in an offensive minded league. Last season, the Horned Frogs were at almost an all time best, becoming one of the very best rush stopping teams in the country. And they return large portions of their defense, which has a lot of depth to boot. TCU loses a few stars on defense, including defensive end Mat Boesen, linebacker Travin Howard, safety Nick Orr, and cornerback Ranthony Texada. However, the Horned Frogs look like they will be able to reload with all the depth and experience they have returning.
This will surely be one of the hardest games for the Bears on the schedule. Surprisingly though, ESPN’s FPI gives Baylor a 48.9% chance of beating TCU. That makes it more likely— according to this metric—than games against Oklahoma, Texas, West Virginia, Iowa State, and Oklahoma State. Additionally, rivalry games can be finicky, with the underdog often playing harder than they might otherwise. Granted, with how late this game is in the season, its hard to predict with 100% certainty that Baylor will be the underdog at that point. Time will tell, but a home rivalry game is certainly somewhere the Bears can pick up a huge win.