Baylor @ #12 TCU
Friday, November 24th 11:00 AM CT, FS1
It’s that time of the year again for Baylor (1-10) to take on #12 TCU (9-2). This is the last game of Baylor’s season and they’ve got nothing to lose. TCU can lock up a spot in the Big 12 championship game with a win and keep their CFP hopes alive. TCU has a lot of pressure on their shoulders. Baylor doesn’t. With the questionable status of Kenny Hill, that could fall onto the shoulders of Shawn Robinson. TCU is the better team this year by about every possible metric. I’m not holding my breath for a Baylor win, but I’ve seen crazier things happen and I’d want nothing more for these seniors to be sent out on such a high note. At the very least, I think the 24.5 point spread in favor of TCU is too big and Baylor will keep it closer than that.
Texas Tech @ Texas
Friday, November 24th 7:00 PM CT, FOX
Texas Tech (5-6) has to win this game to reach bowl eligibility. Texas (6-5) is trying to keep its rebuilding process moving in the right direction and a win over Tech would do just that. I think the Red Raiders will come out with some fire—and pressure—whereas Texas might be a little more flat, but loose. Nic Shimonek will need to have a strong game against a stout Texas defense to give the Red Raiders a chance. I’ll take Texas to win this one but I wouldn’t be surprised by the opposite outcome.
Kansas @ #19 Oklahoma State
Saturday, November 25th 11:00 AM CT, FS1
Kansas (1-10) has looked lifeless basically the entire season. #19 Oklahoma State (8-3) is coming off of a shootout loss to Kansas State that eliminated them from a shot at the Big 12 championship game. Even with that letdown and the perceived lack of motivation in this game, I don’t see how the Cowboys lose this game. Mason Rudolph and company just have too much talent for the Jayhawks. Cowboys win big.
Iowa State @ Kansas State
Saturday, November 25th 2:30 PM CT, ESPN2
Iowa State (7-4) still has some paths open to them that would get them into the Big 12 championship. Two things have to happen in any of those scenarios for it to happen: Baylor needs to beat TCU and Iowa State has to beat Kansas State. Both of those could be tall orders. Kansas State (6-5) flexed its offensive muscles last week in a high scoring win over Oklahoma State. Iowa State looked underwhelming against Baylor for a while before eventually pulling away. Kansas State has won the last NINE meetings between these two teams. Will the Cyclones be able to prevent a decade of losses? Honestly, I think part of it could hinge on how the Bears fair the day before this game. If the Cyclones know they have a shot at the Big 12 championship game with a Baylor win, I think they’ll come out all cylinders firing. If not, I think they might fall into a trance of “well, we’re already bowl eligible.” We’ll see. In either scenario, I think I’ll lean on the more talent heavy Iowa State to win a close one.
West Virginia @ #4 Oklahoma
Saturday, November 25th 2:45 PM CT, ESPN
#4 Oklahoma (10-1) is already guaranteed a spot in the Big 12 championship game. This game is all about keeping their spot in the CFP. West Virginia (7-4) has a VERY remote chance to make it to the Big 12 championship game. They would have to win this game to have a shot at rematching Oklahoma only a week later. I don’t see that happening, however. Even with the distraction of Baker Mayfield not starting because of his obscene gesture during the Kansas game, I think OU comes out strong and gets a win knowing their playoff hopes are on the line. I’ll take the Sooners by a touchdown or two.