"I'm going to win the Heisman. I'm going to win it in 2013." -- Lache Seastrunk, December 2012
Since 2000, only two running backs have won the prestigious Heisman Trophy (Reggie Bush in '05 and Mark Ingram in '09). We live in a quarterback-driven world and this season is no different. The top seven guys in this year's race according to Heisman Pundit are all quarterbacks with Baylor's own Bryce Petty sitting in the fourth spot. If you browse the website, you will find the 10 Heismandments that are rules to govern the Heisman race.
The site says the following:
The more Heismandments that apply to a player in a given season, the better his chances are of winning.
Let's dissect these rules with regards to Seastrunk and Petty.
1. The winner must be a quarterback, a running back, or a multi-threat athlete.
Check for both players.
2. Juniors and seniors have the overwhelming advantage in the Heisman race and, as a general rule, will win over an underclassman. But underclassmen who put up extraordinary single-season numbers can’t be discounted.
Both players are juniors.
3. The winner must put up good numbers in big games on TV.
All Baylor games are televised in some fashion and this week's Kansas State game is on Fox. The first big test will be Thursday, November 7, against Oklahoma on FS1.
4. The winner must have some prior name recognition.
This is where Seastrunk has the edge from a Baylor standpoint as he is a household name in college football after roaring onto the scene in the second half of 2012.
Also, he did this:
5. The winner must be one or more of the following three: (a) The top player on a national title contender. (b) A player who puts up good numbers for a traditional power that has a good record or (c) A player who puts up superlative single-season or career numbers on a good team, or has numbers that are way out ahead of his Heisman competitors.
(a) Remains to be seen.
(c) Both Petty and Seastrunk have a shot at this, but Seastrunk has the advantage as there are many more elite quarterbacks than running backs. Petty will have stiff competition from Mariota, Boyd, Murray and Manziel. While there are good backs out there, they either won't have the stats at the end of the season or the name recognition that Lache does.
6. The winner cannot be considered an obvious product of his team’s system.
This is a black eye for both players with Baylor's track record as an offensive team, but more so for Petty. This is the third straight year that Baylor is setting records with a different quarterback at the helm. From a national perspective, Baylor is a "passing" team so this is where it is possible for Seastrunk to make headway into national hearts and minds.
7. If you are a quarterback, running back or multi-purpose athlete at one of the following schools–Notre Dame, USC, Texas, Oklahoma, Nebraska, Ohio State, Michigan, Miami, Florida and Florida State–you have a good chance to win if you have a very good statistical season, are an upperclassmen and your team wins at least 9 games.
8. Statistical benchmarks exist for each position to help voters gauge a player’s ‘Heisman worthiness’.
a. A running back who is NOT on a traditional power or a national championship contender usually must gain at least 2,000 yards. This hefty yardage requirement for such backs has risen a bit over the years as the longer regular season has made it more commonplace. A back on a traditional power or national title contender, must gain at least 1,600 yards. In either case, the back must score at least 15 touchdowns.
b. Dual-threat quarterbacks must produce at least 3,500 yards of total offense and 35 combined touchdowns and have a passer rating of 140 or better. Traditional pocket passers must have a passer rating over 160, at least 3,500 yards passing and a touchdown-to-interception ratio of at least 4-to-1.
c. A multi-purpose athlete/receiver has to score at least 20 touchdowns and can only win by producing spectacular plays on special teams, specifically kick and punt returns.
a. If Seastrunk ever saw action in the second half, this would be easy to obtain. At his current pace, Lache would rush for 1,914 and 26 touchdowns in 13 games.
b. Likewise for Petty as he is projected to get the following: 4,044 passing yards, 30 TDs, 3 INTs, 180 rush yards, 9 TDs
9. There will never be another two-time Heisman winner.
Suck it, Manziel.
10. The winner must be likeable.
How can you not like Lache?
We are talking scoring records, Big 12 title and (gulp) BCS game, so why not discuss the realistic chances of another stiff arm trophy coming to Waco?
Eddie Middlebrook forms letters into words for Hill College, SDI and WFAA Sports.