So I had a bit of time tonight and got to thinking about our scholarship situation in 2014. Suffice to say, it's predictably close. As nearly as I can tell, assuming everyone who should makes it in does and nobody else leaves, we're going to be 2 scholarships over the 85 scholarship limit. That's honestly not a bad place to be. Let's take a closer look.
The year next to each class is the year of their graduation, not their final season. Projected starters are denoted with a (S) next to their name.
|2014 Baylor Football Scholarship Chart|
39 O / 46 D / 2 ST
|RS Freshmen (2018)
|True Freshmen (2018)
|QB (3)||Bryce Petty (S)||Seth Russell||Chris Johnson|
|RB (5)||Anthony Webb||
Rashodrick Linwood (S)
|Johnny Jefferson||Terence Williams|
Levi Norwood (S)***
Corey Coleman (S)
Antwan Goodley (S)
|Jay Lee (S)||
Robbie Rhodes (S)
|Quan Jones||Davion Hall
|TE (3)||Gus Penning (S)||Jordan Feuerbacher
Troy Baker (S)
Spencer Drango (S)
|Tre'Von Armstead (TE S?)||Patrick Lawrence|
Desmine Hilliard (S)
Jarell Broxton (S)
|Jason Osei||Sean Muir||Devonte Jones
|C (3)||Tyler Edwards||Kyle Fuller (S)||Blake Blackmar|
|DT (11)||Terell Brooks||
Beau Blackshear (S)
Andrew Billings (S)
Shawn Oakman (S)
Jamal Palmer (S)
|LB (7)||Bryce Hager (S)||Grant Campbell (S)||
|NB (3)||Kiante Griffin (S)||Austin Jupe||Cordell Dorsey
Terell Burt (S)
Orion Stewart (S)
|Alfred Pullom||Chance Waz|
|CB (10)||Chris Sanders (S)||
Xavien Howard (S)
|P (1)||Spencer Roth (S)|
|K (1)||(S) ?||Chris Callahan|
|2013 -- 85 of 85 ?||2014 -- 87 of 85 (as of now)||Departing Players||2013 -- 21||2014 -- 10|
I've done the best I can with the information at hand to try to project all of the players who, barring unexpected change, are in line to receive football scholarships for the 2014-2015 season. This is not a complete roster of the entire football team. This project necessarily involves a boatload of speculation, since I'm including some players and not including others, and is by no means intended to be authoritative or offensive. If you know something I don't know, please share.
As you can tell, it's pretty obvious that unless we lose several members of the incoming recruiting class to grades/qualification (which has been known to happen) or current players to attrition, Baylor could find itself in relatively dire straights scholarship-wise for the 2014-2015 academic year. The latter -- attrition -- is arguably more important than the former and occurs when players on the roster now determine (sometimes with a bit of help) that it is in their best interest to seek greener pastures elsewhere. Last year, just as an example, we lost 5 players for sure, possibly 6, to transfer or early graduation. This year, we could/should see similar numbers, even if we lose a recruit or two to grades between now and next August.
I'll speculate on a number of things (obviously), but despite significant rumors swirling, I won't do that on the names of potential transferees here. What I will say that is that if the typical transferee is a redshirt freshman or sophomore who has been passed up by someone behind them or recruited over (with an elite incoming freshman or a JUCO). Older players transfer, as well, especially those who have already graduated, but most often it is the younger guys with enough eligibility remaining to take the 1-year transfer hit.
Other than the scholarship situation for next year, I did this to show how small Baylor's recruiting class will be in 2015. With only 11 seniors (by next year's classification) and 4-5 other spots probably coming open to attrition, we're looking at a class definitely in the teens, probably of 15-16, at most. Should someone like Oakman leave early (which he probably will), that opens another spot. We've already got 4 commits (Lynch, President, Stricklin, and Major) and 2 greyshirts (Greg Roberts and Stefan Beard), leaving around 10-11 spots. So keep that in mind.