So I had a bit of time tonight and got to thinking about our scholarship situation in 2014. Suffice to say, it's predictably close. As nearly as I can tell, assuming everyone who should makes it in does and nobody else leaves, we're going to be 2 scholarships over the 85 scholarship limit. That's honestly not a bad place to be. Let's take a closer look.
The year next to each class is the year of their graduation, not their final season. Projected starters are denoted with a (S) next to their name.
|2014 Baylor Football Scholarship Chart|
39 O / 42 D / 2 ST
|RS Freshmen (2018)
|True Freshmen (2018)
|QB (3)||Bryce Petty (S)||Seth Russell||Chris Johnson|
Rashodrick Linwood (S)
|Johnny Jefferson||Terence Williams|
Levi Norwood (S)
Corey Coleman (S)
Antwan Goodley (S)
|Jay Lee (S)||
||Quan Jones||Davion Hall
|TE (4)||Gus Penning||Tre'Von Armstead (TE S?)||Jordan Feuerbacher
Troy Baker (S)
Spencer Drango (S)
|Ishmael Wilson||Patrick Lawrence|
|G (5)||Jason Osei||Josh Pelzel
|C (4)||Blake Muir||Kyle Fuller (S)||Sean Muir||Blake Blackmar|
|DT (10)||Terell Brooks||
Javonte Magee (S)
Andrew Billings (S)
Shawn Oakman (S)
Jamal Palmer (S)
|LB (8)||Bryce Hager||Grant Campbell||
Aiavion Edwards (S)
Taylor Young (S)
|NB (3)||Collin Brence||Travon Blanchard||Cordell Dorsey
Orion Stewart (S)
|Alfred Pullom||Chance Waz|
|Chris Sanders (S)||
Terrence Singleton (S)
Ryan Reid (S)
Xavien Howard (S)
|P (1)||Spencer Roth (S)|
|K (1)||(S) ?||Chris Callahan|
||Tuswani Copeland||Peni Tagive|
|2014 -- 83 of 85 (as of now)
||2014 -- 72 of 85 (as of now)||Departing Players||2014 --11||2015 --18|
I've done the best I can with the information at hand to try to project all of the players who, barring unexpected change, are in line to receive football scholarships for the 2014-2015 season. This is not a complete roster of the entire football team. This project necessarily involves a boatload of speculation, since I'm including some players and not including others, and is by no means intended to be authoritative or offensive. If you know something I don't know, please share.
As you can tell, it's pretty obvious that unless we lose several members of the incoming recruiting class to grades/qualification (which has been known to happen) or current players to attrition, Baylor could find itself in relatively dire straights scholarship-wise for the 2014-2015 academic year. The latter -- attrition -- is arguably more important than the former and occurs when players on the roster now determine (sometimes with a bit of help) that it is in their best interest to seek greener pastures elsewhere. Last year, just as an example, we lost 5 players for sure, possibly 6, to transfer or early graduation. This year, we could/should see similar numbers, even if we lose a recruit or two to grades between now and next August.
I'll speculate on a number of things (obviously), but despite significant rumors swirling, I won't do that on the names of potential transferees here. What I will say that is that if the typical transferee is a redshirt freshman or sophomore who has been passed up by someone behind them or recruited over (with an elite incoming freshman or a JUCO). Older players transfer, as well, especially those who have already graduated, but most often it is the younger guys with enough eligibility remaining to take the 1-year transfer hit.
Other than the scholarship situation for next year, I did this to show how small Baylor's recruiting class will be in 2015. With only 10 seniors (by next year's classification) and 4-5 other spots probably coming open to attrition, we're looking at a class definitely in the teens, probably of 16-17, at most. Should someone like Oakman leave early (which he probably will), that opens another spot. We now have 10 commits (Lynch, President, Stricklin, Hasty, Brown, Porter, Tolbert, Tecklenburg, Hager, and Wilson) and 2 greyshirts (Greg Roberts and Stefan Beard*), leaving around 7-8 spots. So keep that in mind.
*Beard has reportedly not qualified out of high school, raising the possibility that he doesn't greyshirt as expected. Non-qualifiers typically have to spend 2 full years in JUCO to graduate there and satisfy entrance requirements for D1 schools.
Reported 2014 Departures (Updated):
CB Tyler Stephenson
NB Kiante' Griffin
NB Austin Jupe
DT Zorell Ezell
WR Robbie Rhodes
OL Devonta Jones (did not qualify)
Stefan Beard and T'Kevian Rockwell were not listed previously, so I didn't have to take them off now.