If you're a betting man-- and I'm not saying you are or should be-- or you like to glean information teams from what the supposedly neutral prognosticators in Vegas think, you might be a little more hesitant to take our Bears after seeing the latest updated lines from Golden Nugget this morning. I won't paste the entire list, which has more than 200 games on it, but we can talk about as many or as few as you'd like.
Saturday, October 5, 2013
This is the first on Baylor's list, our previous games being mostly against patsies for which you won't see lines for quite a while. Baylor is favored by 7 in WVU's first trip to Waco as a member of the Big 12 Conference, and with this win, we'd presumably move to 4-0 on the season.
Saturday, October 12, 2013
KANSAS ST. -5
It's worth noting that very few games on the list have smaller spreads, like 2 or 3 points, if any. Still, 5 points to a rebuilding Kansas State team seems like a bit much, even if they have an immortal wizard running their program. The immediate reaction to go against Baylor on the road probably has merit in our history, but for a long time we weren't any good. How much do predictive value do games from 2005 have now?
Thursday, November 7, 2013
I'm not at all surprised by this line, even taking into account the fact that we're the home team. Oklahoma has legit preseason buzz and should start their season undefeated to this point, provided they take care of the massively overrated Texas Longhorns in the somehow-a-pick 'em RRR. Lines for our intervening games against Kansas and Iowa State are not available, but I would predict we will be favored in both.
Saturday, November 23, 2013
OKLAHOMA ST. -11
This is the first one where I've had serious reservations. Oklahoma State is favored by this list in all of their games. Does Vegas really think they'll be that good, or are we seeing the effect of everybody else in the Big 12 having questions at the QB position? I'm reminded of the old adage that if you have 2 QBs, that means you don't have 1. OSU may have talent at that position to spare, but this wasn't a fantastic team last year, and Baylor beat them in our last regular season game.
Saturday, November 30, 2013
I have a hard time arguing this. TCU gets back Casey Pachall, who was great before his suspension for drugs, and should have the best defense in the conference. We're playing at TCU. 5 points isn't too big for this spread.
Saturday, December 7, 2013
Now this is some &*$# right here. Look at Texas' team and tell me how you think they're 8-point favorites at our place. Is it David Ash? Does David Ash strike you as a guy worthy of all that confidence? I hope it's not David Ash. Because David Ash isn't great. I'd bet a lot of money that Bryce Petty is better this season.
In fact, I'll bet money right now that Baylor not only covers this spread, it wins that game (health of the key players being assumed for the most part). That's my call. Baylor wins the last game in Floyd Casey history.
Check out the rest of the lines and tell me what you think. I'm all hot-and-bothered now about the Texas thing.