FanPost

The Baylor Effect - Week 10

So let's see what changed while we weren't playing this weekend :)

The Baylor Effect on Opposing Defenses

Here is where our opponents rank at this point in the season:

Games Yards Yds/Gm Rank Points Points/Gm Rank
Buffalo 8 3042 380.25 49 183 22.88 39
ULM 9 3733 414.78 78 256 28.44 76
WVU 9 4074 452.67 101 270 30.00 82
KSU 8 2903 362.88 30 176 22.00 32
ISU 8 3820 477.50 113 319 39.88 116
Kansas 8 3573 446.63 99 256 32.00 95

Here is where our opponents would rank had they not played Baylor:

Games Yards Yds/Gm Rank Points Points/Gm Rank
Buffalo 7 2261 323.00 12 113 16.14 7
ULM 8 2952 369.00 36 186 23.25 41
WVU 8 3202 400.25 71 197 24.63 T-50
KSU 7 2452 350.29 21 141 20.14 T-22
ISU 7 3106 443.71 98 248 35.43 106
Kansas 7 2830 404.29 73 197 28.14 76

Wow, Buffalo would be top 15 in Total Defense and top 10 in Scoring Defense if they hadn't played BU! Both of our FBS non-conference opponents that everyone complains about would be top 50 in scoring defense and Total defense. K-State looks good even with the game against us but they look really impressive without it. Iowa State is bad and getting worse, I would not be surprised to see them go 0-fer and Kansas pick up the win in the Big 12 pillow fight.

The Baylor Effect on Opposing Offenses


Our opponents' current offensive ranks:

Games Points Points/Gm Rank Yards Yds/Gm Rank
Buffalo 8 248 31.00 T-55 3047 380.88 84
ULM 9 208 23.11 96 3328 369.78 93
WVU 9 213 23.67 92 3576 397.33 76
KSU 8 257 32.13 49 3298 412.25 63
ISU 8 185 23.13 95 2706 338.25 108
Kansas 8 137 17.13 114 2340 292.50 118

Removing the Baylor game doesn't have much affect on our opponents total offensive but does hurt most of their scoring offense numbers:

Games Points Points/Gm Rank Yards Yds/Gm Rank
Buffalo 7 235 33.57 T-39 2684 383.43 83
ULM 8 201 25.13 T-86 3033 379.13 87
WVU 8 171 21.38 102 3182 397.75 76
KSU 7 232 33.14 41 2853 407.57 69
ISU 7 178 25.43 82 2532 361.71 96
Kansas 7 123 17.57 114 2032 290.29 118

We impact our opponents from a scoring standpoint but have little effect on their ability to move the ball except for ULM who we held almost 100 yards under their average and Iowa St. who we held almost 200 yards below their average. One thing worth noting, at home we have held every opponent under their season average for yards and (not counting WVU) well below their season average points. Not good for the Sooners. On the road we give up slightly above average yards but still keep scoring down. We'll see how that affects things in Stillwater.

Conclusions

Not much has changed since last week. KSU was the only mover defensively with both their Total and Scoring Defense numbers improving. ULM, WVU, and KSU all won and all of their ranks improved offensively. Iowa St. almost got shut out again and their dumpster fire continues to burn more and more brightly. Kansas is still offensively inept.

BTW, if you haven't taken a look at JudgeChamber's NetScoringImpact post you should, cool stuff there.

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